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Louisville at North Carolina State - 10/5/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Louisville Cardinals (4-1) at NC State Wolfpack (4-1)

College Football: Thursday, October 5, 2017 at 8:00 pm (Carter-Finley Stadium)

The Line: NC State Wolfpack +3.5 -- Over/Under: 65.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Louisville Cardinals and NC State Wolfpack meet Thursday in college football action at Carter-Finley Stadium on ESPN.

The Louisville Cardinals look for their second road victory of the season to build on their 4-1 start. The Louisville Cardinals have won five of their last seven road games. Lamar Jackson is completing 64 percent of his passes for 1,636 yards, 13 touchdowns and three interceptions. Jackson has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last seven games. Jaylen Smith and Dez Fitzpatrick have combined for 659 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Seth Dawkins has 18 receptions. The Louisville Cardinals ground game is averaging 210.2 yards per contest, and Jackson leads the way with 437 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Louisville is allowing 24.6 points and 317.6 yards per game. Zykiesis Cannon leads the Louisville Cardinals with 32 tackles, Jon Greenard has five sacks and Stacy Thomas has one interception. 

Louisville at North Carolina State - 10/5/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The NC State Wolfpack look for their fifth straight victory and second win this season over a ranked team. The NC State Wolfpack have won seven of their last 10 home games. Ryan Finley is completing 71.9 percent of his passes for 1,403 yards, nine touchdowns and zero interceptions. Finley has two or more touchdown passes in four of his last six games. Jaylen Samuels and Kelvin Harmon have combined for 622 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Stephen Louis has 22 receptions. The NC State Wolfpack ground game is averaging 168.2 yards per contest, and Nyheim Hines leads the way with 411 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, NC State is allowing 23.4 points and 370.4 yards per game. Jerod Fernandez leads the NC State Wolfpack with 44 tackles, Bradley Chubb has 5.5 sacks and Johnathan Alston has two interceptions.

The Cardinals are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in October and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Wolfpack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 7-0 in Wolfpack last 7 conference games and the over is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 road games.

Louisville seems to have its mojo back after its last two victories, but wins over Kent State and Murray State don't tell me much. Louisville has struggled against good comp this season, as it beat Purdue and North Carolina by a combined 19 points and was waxed by Clemson. I still don't trust the Cardinals defensively and there's still too much pressure on Jackson to do everything offensively. On the otherside, NC State has won four straight including a road victory against Florida State. NC State takes care of the football and has one of the better defensive fronts in the country that has helped produce 33 tackles for loss in five games. The Wolfpack are a tough team that can win in the trenches and take control of a game like this against a smaller Lousiville squad. Let's not forget the Wolfpack moved the ball against a terrific Florida State defense. This is a game NC State can win outright at home, so I'll have the side and ML in this contest. 

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