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BYU vs. Boise State - 10/6/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Boise State Broncos (2-2) at BYU Cougars (1-4)

College Football: Friday, October 6, 2017 at 10:15 pm (LaVell Edwards Stadium)

The Line: BYU Cougars +7.5 -- Over/Under: 45 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Boise State Broncos will travel to Lavell Edwards Stadium to take on the BYU Cougars this Friday night in College Basketball action.

The Boise State Broncos fell to 2-2 (1-0 MW) on the season after being defeated by the Virginia Cavaliers, 42-23, on Friday, September 22nd. Boise State had no answers on the defensive end for the Cavaliers and couldn’t fight back after falling behind by a 35-14 margin at the end of the 3rd quarter. Boise State was outgained by the Cavaliers by a 440-383 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. Leading the way for the Broncos was WR Cedrick Wilson who had 209 receiving yards and a TD on 13 receptions. On the season, Boise State is averaging 29.8 ppg on 351.3 total yards per game (234.3 passing yds/game; 117.0 rushing yds/game). Offensively, Boise State has been led by WR Cedrick Wilson who had 3 TD’s on the season while averaging 121.3 receiving yds/game on 7.3 rec/g. QB Brett Rypien, who just returned from an injury suffered in in their loss against Washington State, has completed 60.3% of his passes for 0 TD and 2 INT while averaging 173.7 passing yds/g. Leading the way for the Broncos backfield has been the duo of Alexander Mattison (10.0 att/g, 41.5 yds/g, 2 TD) and Ryan Wolpin (10.0 att/g, 30.0 yds/g, 1 TD). Defensively, Boise State is allowing their opponents to average 29.0 ppg on 346.8 total yards per game (231.0 passing yds/g, 115.8 rushing yds/g). Boise State has forced their opponents into committing 8 turnovers on the season and currently have a turnover margin of +1.

BYU vs. Boise State - 10/6/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The BYU Cougars lost their 4th straight game and dropped to 1-4 on the season after being defeated by the Utah State Aggies, 40-24, this past Friday night. BYU held a 21-7 lead early in the 2nd quarter, however, allowed Utah State to quickly get back into the game and couldn’t fight back after trailing 33-21 early in the 4th quarter. BYU outgained Utah State by a 396-288 margin, however, lost the turnover battle by an incredible 7-1 margin. Leading the way for the Cougars was RB Ula Tolutau who had 102 rushing yards on 21 carries. On the season, BYU is averaging 12.6 ppg on 256.6 total yards per game (152.6 passing yds/g; 104.0 rushing yds/g). BYU has been led by their backfield duo of Ula Tolutau (10.0 att/g, 47.0 yds/g, TD) and Squally Canada (7.4 att/g, 37.4 yds/g, TD). BYU has been hit hard with injuries at the QB position this season as starting QB Tanner Mangum is out due to an injury while backup QB Beau Hoge (55.2 Comp %, 2 TD, 3 INT) is listed as questionable due to a head injury that knocked him out of the game against Utah State. If Hoge can’t go, BYU will rely on Koy Detmer Jr. who has completed 7 of 20 passes for 91 yards and 3 INT. The leading receivers for the Cougars have been TE Matt Bushman (3.2 rec/g, 36.2 yds/g) and WR Talon Shumway (2.8 rec/g, 29.6 yds/g). Defensively, BYU is allowing their opponents to an average of 26.4 ppg on 381.6 total yard per game (212.6 passing yds/g; 169.0 rushing yds/g). BYU had committed 13 turnovers on the season and has a current turnover margin of -9.

The Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Friday games. The Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Friday games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Boise State suffered their worst home loss in the past 16 years, however, this is still a quality team that recently should have beaten a very good Washington State team. BYU had a tough schedule which helped explained their early season troubles, however, after their embarrassing loss against Utah State which highlighted their offensive struggles, it could be a very long year for the Cougars. BYU has no answers at the QB position right now and as they are turnover machine, I think Boise State does enough on the road to cover this spread. Take Boise State to cover.  

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