Colorado vs. Arizona - 10/7/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Arizona Wildcats (2-2) at Colorado Buffaloes (3-2)
College Football: Saturday, October 7, 2017 at 8:00 pm (Folsom Field)
The Line: Colorado Buffaloes -7 -- Over/Under: 56.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: Pac-12 Networks
The Arizona Wildcats will travel to Folsom Field to take on the Colorado Buffaloes this Saturday night in College Football action.
The Arizona Wildcats dropped to 2-2 (0-1 Pac-12) on the season after falling to the 23rd ranked Utah Utes 30-24, this past Saturday. Arizona kept the game close throughout, but a late fumble with 2:33 left in the 4th quarter after recovering an onside kick, sealed the Wildcats fate. The Wildcats outgained the Utes by a 448-341 margin, but Arizona lost the turnover battle by a 5-2 margin. Leading the way for Arizona was QB Brandon Dawkins who completed 24-42 passes for 248 yards with 1 TD and 3 INT while also rushing 18 times for 90 yards and a TD. On the season, the Wildcats are averaging 41.3 ppg on 478.8 yards per game (182.8 passing yds/g; 296.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Arizona is led by dual threat QB Brandon Dawkins who is completing 62.9% of his passes on the season for 5 TD and 3 INT while averaging 167.5 passing yds/g. Dawkins is also the Wildcat's leading rusher at 13 att/g with 6 TD while averaging 85.25 yds/g. Arizona has talent at WR in Tony Ellison (3.5 rec/g, 45.5 yds/g, 2 TD) and Shun Brown (2.8 rec/g, 45.0 yds/g, TD). The backfield is led by J.J Taylor (12.0 att/g, 57.25 yds/g, TD) and Jack Wilson (11.33 att/g, 57.0 yds/g; TD). Defensively, Arizona is holding their opponents to an average of 22.3 ppg on 376.0 total yards per game (258.0 passing yds/g; 118.0 rushing yds/g). The Wildcats have forced 9 turnovers on the season and have a turnover margin of +1.
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The Colorado Buffaloes dropped to 3-2 (0-2 Pac-12) on the season after falling to the UCLA Bruins 27-23, this past Saturday. Colorado fought hard throughout the game allowing just 13 second half points, but in the end the Bruins offense led by Josh Rosen held off the Buffaloes attack. The Buffaloes were outgained by the Bruins by a 467-434 margin, but won the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. Leading the way for Colorado was QB Steven Montez who completed 17-36 passes for 243 yards and 1 TD. On the season, the Buffaloes are averaging 25.6 ppg on 417.8 total yards per game (266.4 passing yds/g; 151.4 passing yds/g). Offensively, Colorado is led by RB Philip Lindsay who has 5 TD’s on the season and is averaging 105.8 rushing yds/g on 21.8 att/g. QB Steven Montez has completed 65.2% of his passes on the year for 6 TD and 6 INT while averaging 254.4 passing yds/g. Montez also has the ability to do some damage with his legs as he is averaging 42.6 rushing yds/g on 11.4 att/g. Colorado has talented WR's in Devin Ross (4.6 rec/g, 65.4 yds/g, TD), Shay Fields (5.0 rec/g; 59.6 yds/g, 2 TD) and Bryce Bobo (5.0 att/g, 50.6 yds/g, 2 TD). Defensively, the Buffaloes are holding their opponents to 366.8 total yards per game (234.0 passing yds/g; 132.8 rushing yds/g) The Buffaloes have forced 9 turnovers this season and have a turnover margin of +1.
The Wildcats are 17-36 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Buffaloes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in October and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.
Arizona has been more competitive this season as their two losses came in close games against Houston and Utah and must be encouraged with the performance of their defense so far early in the season. Colorado has talent on both sides of the ball, and has been led by their defense that ranks 22nd in scoring defense. Colorado is a tough team to beat at home and although I’m impressed with how Arizona has played this season, I don’t think they will be able to put up a good performance on the road. I’m taking Colorado to cover this spread.