Florida State vs. Miami-FL - 10/7/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Miami-FL Hurricanes (3-0) at Florida State Seminoles (1-2)
College Football: Saturday, October 7, 2017 at 3:30 pm (Doak Campbell Stadium)
The Line: Florida State Seminoles +3 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Down in Tallahassee at Doak Campbell Stadium on Saturday, the Miami Hurricanes and the Florida State Seminoles will be locking horns in college football action.
Miami is currently 3-0 on the year following an opening win over Bethune-Cookman, a Canceled game against Arkansas State and wins over Toledo and Duke in their last two. In that Blue Devils game, Miami QB Malik Rosier went 15-of-26 for 270 yards, two TDs and a pick, while Mark Walton was the top rusher on 17 carries and 51 yards.
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On the season so far, Rosier has 820 yards with eight touchdowns and two interceptions, and Walton leads the Hurricanes on 44 carries, 403 yards and three touchdowns. Braxton Berrios is the top Miami receiver with 10 catches, 192 yards and three TDs.
Over on the Florida State side, they’re sitting at 1-2 on the season, losing to Alabama before a canceled game versus UL Monroe and a loss to NC State. The Seminoles got their first win in their most recent outing at Wake Forest, with James Blackman going 11-of-21 for 121 yards and a late TD that sealed it. Jacques Patrick was a big contributor to Florida State in that one, bagging 19 carries for 120 yards and a TD.
Thus far this year, Blackman has 399 yards and two touchdowns, while Patrick is the top Seminoles rusher on 33 carries, 175 yards and a TD. Tops in receiving for Florida State is Auden Tate, who has 13 receptions for 226 yards and three scores.
The Hurricanes are 5-0 ATS in their last five conference games and 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win. Miami is also 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games on grass.
Meanwhile, the Seminoles are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight-up win and 3-1-1 ATS versus a team with a winning record. Florida State is also 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games on grass and the under is 5-1 in the Seminoles’ last six games overall.
Statistically so far, Miami isn’t a very deep team, as just two players have more than 100 receiving yards or double-digit catches. The big strength here is the Hurricanes’ yards per play, which is 8.99 yards per pass and 7.5 yards per carry as a team (Walton in particular has a 9.2 YPC average). As for Florida State, they have three guys with at least 10 catches and three with at least 100 yards, but Tate is the only receiver who has found the end zone this year. All things considered, Miami has the flashier offense here and can likely hang a relatively large amount of points—even though Florida State’s defense has been pretty good. I’ll take the Hurricanes to cover, and the under doesn’t seem like too bad of a play, either.