Florida vs. LSU - 10/7/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
LSU Tigers (3-2) at Florida Gators (3-1)
College Football: Saturday, October 7, 2017 at 3:30 pm (Ben Hill Griffin Stadium)
The Line: Florida Gators -6.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
We have some SEC action on the gridiron as the LSU Tigers take on the #21 Florida Gators in week 6 college football action from Gainesville.
The LSU Tigers will look to bounce back after a frustrating 24-21 loss at the hands of Troy in their last outing, falling to 3-2 with the loss. Danny Etling threw for 198 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception, while Myles Brennan threw for 68 yards, a touchdown and a pick of his own. Darrel Williams led LSU with 69 rushing yards on 17 carries, while Etling racked up 57 yards on 5 carries. DJ Chark led LSU with 4 receptions for 105 yards while Russell Gage and Foster Moreau each caught 3 passes, with Gage logging 62 yards and a touchdown while Moreau contributed 41 yards and a pair of scores. Defensively, the Tigers combined for a pair of interceptions and a fumble recovery but allowed Troy to put up 363 yards of total offense and go 10 for 18 on 3rd down in the losing effort.
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The #21 Florida Gators will look to build on their current three game winning streak after a 38-24 victory over Vanderbilt pushed their record to 3-1 overall this season, including a 3-0 mark in SEC play. Feliepe Franks threw for 185 yards on 10 of 14 passing, but perhaps the biggest loss in the win was fellow QB Luke Del Rio who will miss the remainder of the season with a broken collarbone. The bulk of Florida’s damage on the scoreboard was done via the ground attack, with Malik Davis racking up 124 yards and 2 touchdowns on 17 carries, while Lamical Perine logged 58 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns on 15 carries. Tyrie Cleveland led the team with a pair of catches for 67 yards, while Moral Stephens added 45 yards and Mark Thompson caught a team-high 5 passes in the win. On defense, a Jachai Polite sack highlighted an otherwise solid outing from the Gators that saw Florida allow just 310 yards of total offense while holding the Commodores to just 3 for 13 on 3rd down in the win.
LSU is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games while the under is 16-5-1 in their last 22 conference games. Florida is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games while the under is 7-3 in their last 10 games against a team with a winning record. LSU is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.
I thought LSU would use Troy as a preparation game for this week, and that clearly blew up in my face. LSU is way too inconsistent offensively to put any faith in right now, and that won’t cut it against a Gators squad that is well balanced even with the loss of Del Rio, and I think that Florida can take advantage of that in this one, so give me the Gators as more of a fade from LSU until the Tigers show me they're worthy of my trust again.