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Michigan vs. Michigan State - 10/7/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Michigan State Spartans (2-1) at Michigan Wolverines (4-0)

College Football: Saturday, October 7, 2017 at 3:33 pm (Michigan Stadium)

The Line: Michigan Wolverines -14 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ABC

The Michigan State Spartans and Michigan Wolverines meet Saturday in college football action at Michigan Stadium on ABC.

The Michigan State Spartans look for a statement victory when they take to the road for the first time this season. The Michigan State Spartans have won eight of their last 10 road games. Brian Lewerke is completing 63.2 percent of his passes for 963 yards, eight touchdowns and two interceptions. Lewerke has five touchdown passes in his last three games. Felton Davis III and Darrell Stewart Jr. have combined for 426 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Trishton Jackson has nine receptions. The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 187.5 yards per contest, and Lewerke leads the way with 248 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 18 points and 248.3 yards per game. Joe Bachie leads the Michigan State Spartans with 34 tackles, Chris Frey has 2.5 sacks and Tyson Smith has one interception. 

Michigan vs. Michigan State - 10/7/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Michigan Wolverines have a chance to start a season 5-0 in back-to-back years. The Michigan Wolverines haven’t lost a home game since November of 2015. Wilton Speight is completing 54.3 percent of his passes for 581 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. Speight and John O'Korn have combined for four touchdown passes this season. Grant Perry and Tarik Black have combined for 312 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Sean McKeon has 10 receptions. The Michigan Wolverines ground game is averaging 184.2 yards per contest, and Ty Isaac leads the way with 356 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Michigan is allowing 13.5 points and 203.3 yards per game. Devin Bush leads the Michigan Wolverines with 33 tackles, Chase Winovich has 5.5 sacks and Lavert Hill has one interception.

The Spartans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Wolverines are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in October and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week. The Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Michigan and 9-0 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

Four of the last six meetings between Michigan State and Michigan have been decided by 14 or less points and the Spartans have been on the winning side in seven of the last nine meetings. Michigan is first in the country in yards allowed per game and Michigan State is fifth. The Spartans just took care of Iowa in impressive fashion and their only loss this season was to Notre Dame, a game they probably win if they didn't turn the ball over a million times. Michigan has been winning games, but the Wolverines don't exactly have the offensive firepower to blow teams out, as three of their four victories have come by 18 or less points. This is going to be a defensive battle and it's probably safe to have two free touchdowns in your pocket.

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