Navy vs. Air Force - 10/7/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Air Force Falcons (1-3) at Navy Midshipmen (4-0)
College Football: Saturday, October 7, 2017 at 3:30 pm (Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium)
The Line: Navy Midshipmen -7.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: CBS Sports Network
The Air Force Falcons and Navy Midshipmen meet Saturday in college football action at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.
The Air Force Falcons look for their first road victory of the season to snap a three-game losing streak. The Air Force Falcons have split their last six road games. Arion Worthman is completing 46.3 percent of his passes for 396 yards, six touchdowns and one interception. Worthman has at least one touchdown pass in five of his last seven games. Geraud Sanders and Ronald Cleveland have combined for 249 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Tim McVey has three receptions. The Air Force Falcons ground game is averaging 274.7 yards per contest, and McVey leads the way with 278 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Air Force is allowing 28.3 points and 332.5 yards per game. Jack Flor leads the Air Force Falcons with 34 tackles, Santo Coppola has one sack and Jacob Stafford has one interception.
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The Navy Midshipmen look for another victory to get off to a 5-0 start for the first time since the 2004 CFB season. The Navy Midshipmen have won 13 of their last 14 home games. Zach Abey is completing 41.4 percent of his passes for 385 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. Abey has 64 pass attempts and four touchdown passes in his career. Tyler Carmona and Darryl Bonner have combined for 280 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Malcolm Perry has three receptions. The Navy Midshipmen ground game is averaging 400 yards per contest, and Abey leads the way with 656 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Navy is allowing 23.3 points and 342.8 yards per game. Sean Williams leads the Navy Midshipmen with 29 tackles, D.J. Palmore has 1.5 sacks and Micah Thomas has one interception.
The Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October, 13-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. The Midshipmen are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 home games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games and 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Falcons are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 meetings in Navy, 3-11 ATS in their last 14 meetings and the under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Despite a rough loss to New Mexico, Air Force isn't as bad as its record, as it did cover against Michigan on the road and lost to a good San Diego State team by just four points. Navy has a shot at a 5-0 rcord for the first time in over a decade and has scored 30-plus points in three of its four games. The Midshipmen have also won three of their four games by 10 or more points. These are also games these schools have circles on their calendar, which is why it's no coincidence the home team has won the last four meetings and seven of the last 10 overall. Navy has been the more impressive team out of the gate and should be able to get the job done here by winning another contest by double digit points.