Oregon vs. Washington State - 10/7/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Washington State Cougars (5-0) at Oregon Ducks (4-1)
College Football: Saturday, October 7, 2017 at 8:00 pm (Autzen Stadium)
The Line: Oregon Ducks -2 -- Over/Under: 65.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FOX; Fox Sports Go
The Washington State Cougars will travel to Autzen Stadium to take on the Oregon Ducks this Saturday night in College Football action.
The 11th ranked Washington State Cougars improved to 5-0 (2-0 Pac-12) on the season after defeating the 14th ranked USC Trojans 30-27, this past Saturday. Washington State's defense proved to be too much for USC as the Cougars held the Trojans to 10 2nd half points and QB Sam Darnold to just 164 yards passing and 1 INT. The Cougars outgained the Trojans by a 462-327 margin and won the battle of turnovers by a 2-1 difference. Leading the way for Washington State was QB Luke Falk who completed 34 of 51 passes for 340 yards with 2 TD and 1 INT. On the season, the Cougars are averaging 41.0 ppg on 495.8 total yards per game (414.0 passing yds/g; 81.8 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Washington State is led by QB Luke Falk who has completed 74.5% of his passes on the season with 16 TD and 2 INT while averaging 343.6 passing yds/g. Falk has talented WR's in Tavares Martin Jr. (6.4 rec/g, 89.0 yds/g, 7 TD) and Renard Bell (3.4 rec/g, 65.8 yds/g). The Cougars backfield is led by Jamal Morrow (6.8 att/g, 55.8 yds/g, 2 TD) and James Williams (9.4 att/g, 36.4 yds/g, TD). Defensively, Washington State is holding their opponents to an average of 20.2 ppg on 275.2 total yards per game (146.6 passing yds/g; 128.6 rushing yds/g). The Cougars have forced 12 turnovers on the season and have a turnover margin of +5.
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The Oregon Ducks improved to 4-1 (1-1 Pac-12) on the season after defeating the California Golden Bears 45-24, this past Saturday. Oregon jumped out to a 17-7 halftime lead and outscored California 28-17 in the 2nd half on the way to the win. The Ducks outgained the Golden Bears by a 459-263 margin and won the turnover battle by a 2-1 difference. Leading the way for Oregon was Kani Benoit who carried the ball 18 times for 138 yards and 2 TD. On the season, the Ducks are averaging 49.6 ppg on 537.4 total yards per game (276.6 passing yds/g; 260.8 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Oregon is led by QB Justin Herbert (68.3 comp %, 9 TD, 2 INT, 252.8 yds/g) who will be out indefinitely with a broken collarbone. Taylor Alie is the backup for Herbert and is also questionable for Saturday due to a head injury. The Ducks have talented WR's in Charles Nelson (5.0 rec/g, 81.0 yds/g, TD), Dillion Mitchell (3.8 rec/g, 44.0 yds/g, 2 TD), and Johnny Johnson III (2.8 rec/g, 42.2 yds/g, TD). Talented RB's are led by Royce Freeman (20.6 att/g, 118.4 yds/g, 10 TD) and Kani Benoit (7.0 att/g, 59.4 yds/g, 8 TD). Royce Freeman is also questionable for this game after leaving the game against California with a shoulder injury. Defensively, Oregon is holding their opponents to an average of 26.0 ppg on 332.2 total yards per game (237.2 passing yds/g; 95.0 rushing yds/g). The Ducks have forced 11 turnovers on the season and have a turnover margin of +2.
The Cougars are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS win and 14-6 ATS in their last 20 conference games. The Ducks are 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 games in October however are just 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.
Washington State will be going on the road for the first time this season, however, must be a confident club as they have a scoring defense that ranks 34th in the country and a QB that has entered the Heisman Trophy conversation. Oregon comes in with the top-ranked offense in College Football however, their victory against California was a costly one with injuries to QB Justin Herbert and RB Royce Freeman. If Oregon was healthy, I would be going with them at home in this one, but the loss of Herbert and possibility Freeman for this game is just too much and I think the Cougars defense does enough to cover with the points in this one. Take Washington State and the points.