Purdue vs. Minnesota - 10/7/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-1) at Purdue Boilermakers (2-2)
College Football: Saturday, October 7, 2017 at 3:30 pm (Ross-Ade Stadium)
The Line: Purdue Boilermakers -3.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Minnesota Golden Gophers and Purdue Boilermakers meet Saturday in college football action at Ross-Ade Stadium on ESPN2.
The Minnesota Golden Gophers look for their second road victory of the season to bounce back from a rough loss to Maryland. The Minnesota Golden Gophers have split their last eight road games. Conor Rhoda is completing 59.7 percent of his passes for 685 yards, three touchdowns and three interceptions. Rhoda has four touchdown passes on his last 88 pass attempts. Tyler Johnson and Nate Wozniak have combined for 437 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Demetrius Douglas has 11 receptions. The Minnesota Golden Gophers ground game is averaging 180.7 yards per contest, and Rodney Smith leads the way with 310 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Minnesota is allowing 13.8 points and 283.3 yards per game. Jonathan Celestin leads the Minnesota Golden Gophers with 35 tackles, Gary Moore has one sack and Jacob Huff has two interceptions.
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The Purdue Boilermakers could also use a nice Big Ten victory to get a game above a .500 record. The Purdue Boilermakers have lost five of their last six home games. David Blough is completing 70 percent of his passes for 629 yards, six touchdowns and two interceptions. Blough and Elijah Sindelar have combined for 11 touchdown passes this season. Cole Herdman and Brycen Hopkins have combined for 383 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Jackson Anthrop has 18 receptions. The Purdue Boilermakers ground game is averaging 137.2 yards per contest, and Tario Fuller leads the way with 261 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Purdue is allowing 21.8 points and 386.5 yards per game. Ja'Whaun Bentley leads the Purdue Boilermakers with 29 tackles, Danny Ezechukwu has two sacks and Kamal Hardy has one interception.
The Golden Gophers are 15-5-3 ATS in their last 23 road games, 20-9-3 ATS in their last 32 conference games and 7-0-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss. The Boilermakers are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games, 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in October and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Golden Gophers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Purdue, the favorite is 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings and the over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
I know Purdue has some injuries to key players on the offensive side of the ball, but Minnesota just lost at home to a Maryland squad that's playing a third string quarterback. Keep in mind the Golden Gophers also had an extra week to prepare for that game. Purdue is coming off a bye week of its own, and the Boilermakers have been highly impressive with their only two losses coming to Louisville and Michigan by a combined 25 points. Purdue has shown the ability to move the football and is gaining confidence, as this is some of the best results the school has seen in years. I'll eat the reasonable chalk and back the Boilaermakers in this spot.