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TCU vs. West Virginia - 10/7/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

West Virginia Mountaineers (3-1) at TCU Horned Frogs (4-0)

College Football: Saturday, October 7, 2017 at 3:30 pm (Amon Carter Stadium)

The Line: TCU Horned Frogs -12.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

The West Virginia Mountaineers and TCU Horned Frogs meet Saturday in college football action at Amon G. Carter Stadium.

The West Virginia Mountaineers look for a fourth straight victory to stay in the thick of the Big 12 conference race. The West Virginia Mountaineers have won five of their last seven home games. Will Grier is completing 65.3 percent of his passes for 1,374 yards, 13 touchdowns and three interceptions. Grier has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last seven games. Gary Jennings and David Sills V have combined for 834 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Marcus Simms has nine receptions. The West Virginia Mountaineers ground game is averaging 231 yards per contest, and Justin Crawford leads the way with 451 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, West Virginia is allowing 25.3 points and 451 yards per game. Al-Rasheed Benton leads the West Virginia Mountaineers with 36 tackles, Ezekiel Rose has one sack and Kyzir White has two interceptions.  

TCU vs. West Virginia - 10/7/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The TCU Horned Frogs can start 5-0 for the second time in three years with a victory here. The TCU Horned Frogs have lost five of their last eight home games. Kenny Hill is completing 72.6 percent of his passes for 965 yards, nine touchdowns and three interceptions. Hill and Shawn Robinson have combined for 11 touchdown passes this season. Desmon White and Jalen Reagor have combined for 302 receiving yards and three touchdowns while KaVontae Turpin has 14 receptions. The TCU Horned Frogs ground game is averaging 232.2 yards per contest, and Darius Anderson leads the way with 422 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, TCU is allowing 18.5 points and 323.5 yards per game. Travin Howard leads the TCU Horned Frogs with 26 tackles, Ben Banogu has three sacks and Ranthony Texada has one interception.

The Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games in October. The Horned Frogs are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games and 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall. The under is 6-2 in Horned Frogs last 8 conference games and over is 3-0-1 in Mountaineers last 4 games overall.

TCU has won every game this season by double digits, and that includes road victories over Arkansas and Oklahoma State. West Virginia has been on a roll as well, but its wins have come against East Carolina, Delaware State and Kansas, some of the worst defensive teams in the country. The one test for the Mountaineers this season was a loss opening weekend against Virginia Tech. While we've made a lot of money backing WVU over the years, I'm not sure they're ready for a game like this on the road, as TCU has shown it's one of the more balanced and explosive teams in the Big 12. This is the first real test of the season for West Virginia given it's a true road game. I have more confidence in the Horned Frogs to get the job done. 

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