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Texas vs. Kansas State - 10/7/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Kansas State Wildcats (3-1) at Texas Longhorns (2-2)

College Football: Saturday, October 7, 2017 at 7:00 pm (Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium)

The Line: Texas Longhorns -6 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

The Kansas State Wildcats and Texas Longhorns meet Saturday in college football action at Royal Texas Memorial Stadium.

The Kansas State Wildcats look for their first road victory of the season to build on their 3-1 start. The Kansas State Wildcats have split their last six road games. Jesse Ertz is completing 52.4 percent of his passes for 706 yards, five touchdowns and two interceptions. Ertz has one combined touchdown pass in his last three games. Isaiah Zuber and Byron Pringle have combined for 354 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Dalton Schoen has six receptions. The Kansas State Wildcats ground game is averaging 229 yards per contest, and Ertz leads the way with 332 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas State is allowing 15 points and 308.5 yards per game. Trent Tanking leads the Kansas State Wildcats with 26 tackles, Will Geary has three sacks and Kendall Adams has two interceptions.   

Texas vs. Kansas State - 10/7/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Texas Longhorns look to win back-to-back games for the first time to get a game above a .500 record. The Texas Longhorns have won five of their last eight home games. Shane Buechele is completing 67.9 percent of his passes for 546 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. Buechele and Sam Ehlinger have combined for six touchdown passes this season. Collin Johnson and Armanti Foreman have combined for 551 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Reggie Hemphill-Mapps has 13 receptions. The Texas Longhorns ground game is averaging 178.2 yards per contest, and Chris Warren III leads the way with 256 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Texas is allowing 21.3 points and 344.3 yards per game. Malik Jefferson leads the Texas Longhorns with 33 tackles, Charles Omenihu has two sacks and DeShon Elliott has four interceptions.

The Wildcats are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 games in October. The Longhorns are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf and 8-17 ATS in their last 25 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Wildcats are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings, the favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

There are few coaches I respect more than Bill Snyder, as he always has his teams prepared and gives them a chance to win regardless of the matchup. It's why I take Kansas State and the points whenever I can, and I'm going to do the same here. Kansas State is a top-25 defense in the country and has allowed 21 or less points in seven of its last eight games. The offense has also had success this season, as Ertz is a true playmaker at quarterback and can cause problems for this Texas defense. The Longhorns are improving defensively and showing signs of taking steps forward, but nine of their last 10 games have either resulted in a loss or a victory by 10 or less points. Not to mention Kansas State has won seven of the last nine meetings against Texas. I'll side with the points here. 

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