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USC vs. Oregon State - 10/7/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Oregon State Beavers (1-4) at USC Trojans (4-1)

College Football: Saturday, October 7, 2017 at 4:00 pm (Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum)

The Line: USC Trojans -33 -- Over/Under: 59.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: Pac-12 Networks

The Oregon State Beavers will travel to Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum to take on the 14th ranked USC Trojans this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.  

The Oregon State Beavers dropped to 1-4 (0-2 Pac-12) on the season after falling to the 6th ranked Washington Huskies 42-7, this past Saturday. Oregon State kept the game close at the half, but could not stop the Washington offense who scored 35 2nd half points. The Beavers were outgained by the Huskies by a 509-184 margin and lost the battle of turnovers by a 2-1 margin. Leading the way for Oregon State was RB Thomas Turner who had 9 carries and a TD with 54 yards. On the Season, the Beavers are averaging 21.2 ppg on 321.6 total yards per game (191.4 passing yds/g; 130.2 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Oregon State is led by QB Jake Luton who has completed 61.5% of his passes on the season with 4 TD and 4 INT while averaging 213.3 passing yds/g. The pass catchers are led by WR's Jordan Villamin (3.4 rec/g, 38.4 yds/g, TD), Isaiah Hodgins (4.3 rec/g, 39.0 yds/g, TD), and TE Noah Togiai (3.5 rec/g, 45 yds/g, TD). The backfield is led by Ryan Nall (12.4 att/g, 68.2 yds/g, 4 TD). Defensively, Oregon State is allowing their opponents to an average of 46.4 ppg on 490.2 total yards per game (288.0 passing yds/g; 202.2 rushing yds/g). The Beavers have committed 14 turnovers on the season and have a turnover margin of –7.

USC vs. Oregon State - 10/7/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The 14th ranked USC Trojans dropped to 4-1 (2-1 Pac-12) on the season after falling to the Washington State Cougars 30-27, this past Saturday. USC and Washington State battled back in forth throughout the game, but the Trojans couldn't stop Luke Falk and the Cougar offense from kicking a game winning field goal with 1:40 left in the game. Leading the way for USC was Ronald Jones II who carried the ball 14 times for 128 yards and a TD. The Trojans were outgained by a 462-327 margin and lost the battle of turnovers by a 2-1 margin. On the season, the Trojans are averaging 35.0 ppg on 459.0 total yards per game (277.8 passing yds/g; 181.2 rushing yds/g). Offensively, USC is led by QB Sam Darnold who has completed 64.6% of his passes on the season for 9 TD and 8 INT while averaging 277.8 yds/g. Darnold has talented WR's in Deontay Burnett (7.8 rec/g, 101.4 yds/g, 5 TD) and Steve Mitchell Jr. (4.7 rec/g, 74.3 yds/g, 2 TD) The backfield is led by RB Ronald Jones II (18.25 att/g, 112.50 yds/g, 6 TD) and Stephen Carr (10.4 att/g, 61.8 yds/g, 3 TD). Defensively, USC is holding their opponents to an average of 25.8 ppg on 388.6 total yards per game (241.4 passing yds/g; 147.2 rushing yds/g). The Trojans have forced 12 turnovers on the season and have a turnover margin of +2.

The Beavers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 conference games however, are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. The Trojans are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games.

It’s a been a tough season for Oregon State as their defense hasn’t been able to find any success and currently ranks just 128th in scoring defense. USC came into this season with National Title hopes led by their QB Sam Darnold however, the Trojans have struggled a bit this season with close games against Texas and California before losing to Washington State. I expect USC to get back on track against Oregon State, however, this is just too many points to pass on with the way the Trojans are playing. I’m taking Oregon State and the points. 

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