South Alabama at Troy - 10/11/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
South Alabama Jaguars (1-4) at Troy Trojans (4-1)
College Football: Wednesday, October 11, 2017 at 8:00 pm (Veterans Memorial Stadium)
The Line: Troy Trojans -16.5 -- Over/Under: 49.5 See the Latest Odds
The South Alabama Jaguars and Troy Trojans meet Wednesday in college football action at Veterans Memorial Stadium on ESPN2.
The South Alabama Jaguars look for their first road victory of the season to rebound from a 1-4 start. The South Alabama Jaguars have lost six straight road games. Cole Garvin is completing 53.2 percent of his passes for 447 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Garvin and Dallas Davis have combined for five touchdown passes and four interceptions this season. Jamarius Way and Sam Harris have combined for 492 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Sa'Mory Collier has 10 receptions. The South Alabama Jaguars ground game is averaging 142.2 yards per contest, and Xavier Johnson leads the way with 345 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, South Alabama is allowing 30.8 points and 421.2 yards per game. Jeremy Reaves leads the South Alabama Jaguars with 37 tackles, Finessé Middleton has 3.5 sacks and Gus Nave has one interception.
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The Troy Trojans look for their fifth straight victory to stay in the thick of the Sun Belt conference. The Troy Trojans have won seven of their last eight home games. Brandon Silvers is completing 64.8 percent of his passes for 1,241 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Silvers has one or less touchdown passes in seven straight games. Deondre Douglas and Emanuel Thompson have combined for 465 receiving yards and one touchdown while Damion Willis has 14 receptions. The Troy Trojans ground game is averaging 181.6 yards per contest, and Jordan Chunn leads the way with 490 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Troy is allowing 18.6 points and 339.8 yards per game. Cedarius Rookard leads the Troy Trojans with 30 tackles, Zo Bridges has 2.5 sacks and Kris Weatherspoon has two interceptions.
The Jaguars are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games, 7-19 ATS in their last 26 conference games and 10-28 ATS in their last 38 games overall. The Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games, 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games in October and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings, the underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings and the under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
South Alabama has had a tough schedule this season and the two games where it played teams at its level resulted in a win over Alabama A&M and an overtime loss to Idaho. So, it's going to be interesting to see how the Jagaurs hang in this conference game. Troy is red hot right now and has had an extra week to enjoy and refocus from its road victory over LSU. In this game, we have two teams that don't make many explosive plays on the offensive side and are better at running the football. South Alabama has scored 23 or less points in three of its last four games and Troy has scored under 30 points in eight of its last 11 games. The under is 4-1 in the Jags last five games and 15-5-1 in Troy's last 21 games overall. We're probably not going to see many fireworks in this game. I leaning with the under in this spot if forced to pick this Sun Belt contest.