Texas State at Louisiana - 10/12/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Texas State at Louisiana - 10/12/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

Texas State Bobcats (1-5) at Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (2-3)

College Football: Thursday, October 12, 2017 at 7:30 pm (Cajun Field)

The Line: Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns -14 -- Over/Under: 54.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Texas State Bobcats and Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns meet Thursday in college football action at Cajun Field on ESPNU.

The Texas State Bobcats would love a feel good road victory here to snap a rough five-game losing streak. The Texas State Bobcats have lost seven straight road games. Damian Williams is completing 54.1 percent of his passes for 895 yards, four touchdowns and four interceptions. Williams has one touchdown pass in each of his last four games. Elijah King and Mason Hays have combined for 413 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Thurman Morbley has 11 receptions. The Texas State Bobcats ground game is averaging 131.5 yards per contest, and Anthony D. Taylor leads the way with 256 yards on 56 carries. Defensively, Texas State is allowing 33.7 points and 410.3 yards per game. Bryan London II leads the Texas State Bobcats with 45 tackles, Easy Anyama has three sacks and Gabe Loyd has three pass deflections.  

The Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns look for back-to-back victories here to get back to a .500 record. The Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns have split their last eight home games. Jordan Davis is completing 58.9 percent of his passes for 676 yards, five touchdowns and four interceptions. Davis and Andre Nunez have combined for eight touchdown passes and five interceptions this season. Keenan Barnes and Ryheem Malone have combined for 611 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Ja'Marcus Bradley has 14 receptions. The Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns ground game is averaging 179.2 yards per contest, and Trey Ragas leads the way with 453 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Louisiana is allowing 46.2 points and 506.6 yards per game. T.J. Posey leads the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns with 43 tackles, Joe Dillon has three sacks and Bralen Trahan has one interception.

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The Bobcats are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games, 5-11 ATS in their last 16 conference games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Ragin' Cajuns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Ragin' Cajuns last 5 games overall and under is 9-3 in Bobcats last 12 games overall.

This total seems a little low considering we have two of the worst scoring defenses in all of college football. East Carolina is the only team in the country allowing more points per game than Louisiana-Lafayette, and Texas State has allowed 35 or more points in nine of its last 11 games. The over is 16-7-1 in Texas State's last 24 road games and 4-1 in the Ragin' Cajuns last five games this season. Neither one of these teams can get off the field defensively. So, instead of playing with all that chalk between two subpar teams, I expect to see some fireworks and will side with the over in this spot.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Over 54.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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