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Kansas State vs. TCU - 10/14/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

TCU Horned Frogs (5-0) at Kansas State Wildcats (3-2)

College Football: Saturday, October 14, 2017 at 12:00 pm (Snyder Family Stadium)

The Line: Kansas State Wildcats +4.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

The TCU Horned Frogs and Kansas State Wildcats meet Saturday in college football action at Bill Snyder Family Stadium.

The TCU Horned Frogs look for their third road victory to remain undefeated and in the CFB playoff conversation. The TCU Horned Frogs have won four straight road games. Kenny Hill is completing 69 percent of his passes for 1,153 yards, 10 touchdowns and three interceptions. Hill and Shawn Robinson have combined for 12 touchdown passes and three interceptions this season. Jalen Reagor and John Diars have combined for 377 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Desmon White has 16 receptions. The TCU Horned Frogs ground game is averaging 219.8 yards per contest, and Darius Anderson leads the way with 465 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, TCU is allowing 19.6 points and 360.4 yards per game. Travin Howard leads the TCU Horned Frogs with 38 tackles, Ben Banogu has four sacks and Nick Orr has two interceptions. 

Kansas State vs. TCU - 10/14/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas State Wildcats look for a bounce back victory after losing two of their last three games. The Kansas State Wildcats have won four straight home games. Jesse Ertz is completing 55 percent of his passes for 930 yards, seven touchdowns and two interceptions. Ertz has three combined touchdown passes in his last four games. Dalton Schoen and Isaiah Zuber have combined for 496 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Byron Pringle has seven receptions. The Kansas State Wildcats ground game is averaging 211.2 yards per contest, and Ertz leads the way with 336 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas State is allowing 20 points and 356 yards per game. Trent Tanking leads the Kansas State Wildcats with 37 tackles, Will Geary has three sacks and Kendall Adams has two interceptions.

The Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in October and 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games overall. The Wildcats are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up loss and 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 games in October. The over is 8-3 in Wildcats last 11 games overall and the under is 9-4 in Horned Frogs last 13 games overall. 

I said last week that I usually always take the points with Kansas State, as Bill Snyder always has his team ready and in the best position to win the game. However, this line seems low against a TCU squad that's proven it's probably the best team in the Big 12. Hill is really leading this team on the offensive end and the defense has more than held its own against good teams. The Horned Frogs also have road wins over Arkansas and Oklahoma State, so playing in KSU shouldn't be that big of a deal. If we were getting a free touchdown like last week, I'd probably side with the WIldcats, but because this line is so low, I'm going to back TCU, the better team, and leave points on the table with Snyder in a rare spot.

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