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Memphis vs. Navy - 10/14/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Navy Midshipmen (5-0) at Memphis Tigers (4-1)

College Football: Saturday, October 14, 2017 at 3:45 pm (Liberty Bowl)

The Line: Memphis Tigers -4.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPNU

The Navy Midshipmen and Memphis Tigers meet Saturday in college football action at Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium on ESPNU.

The Navy Midshipmen look for their third road victory of the season to build on their 5-0 start. The Navy Midshipmen have won four straight road games. Zach Abey is completing 40 percent of his passes for 471 yards, five touchdowns and two interceptions. Abey has moved the chains through the air 42 times this season on 146 pass attempts. Tyler Carmona and Malcolm Perry have combined for 302 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Darryl Bonner has three receptions. The Navy Midshipmen ground game is averaging 414.2 yards per contest, and Abey leads the way with 870 yards and nine touchdowns. Defensively, Navy is allowing 27.6 points and 398.4 yards per game. Sean Williams leads the Navy Midshipmen with 38 tackles, D.J. Palmore has 2.5 sacks and Micah Thomas has one interception. 

Memphis vs. Navy - 10/14/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Memphis Tigers look to remain unbeaten at home to remain in the AAC West race. The Memphis Tigers have won for straight home games. Riley Ferguson is completing 59.2 percent of his passes for 1,535 yards, 16 touchdowns and five interceptions. Ferguson has six or more touchdown passes in two of his last four games. Anthony Miller and Joey Magnifico have combined for 698 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Phil Mayhue has 14 receptions. The Memphis Tigers ground game is averaging 192.6 yards per contest, and Darrell Henderson leads the way with 448 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Memphis is allowing 35.2 points and 506.2 yards per game. Austin Hall leads the Memphis Tigers with 34 tackles, Ernest Suttles has two sacks and Terrell Carter has three interceptions.

The Midshipmen are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 conference games and 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games, 2-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in October. The over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games overall and the under is 7-3 in Midshipmen last 10 road games.

This is an interesting line considering Navy is the team that's unbeaten, ranked and has shown it can win on the road with victories over FAU and Tulsa. Memphis' lack of defense scares the hell out of me, especially being ranked 94th against the run, when the Midshipmen are obviously the best ground team in the country. This won't be an easy game for the Memphis Tigers, and they know it based on how the last two meetings have gone. However, Memphis is finding something offensively, as Ferguson has exploded through the air, and if that continues, it's going to be tough for a run-first offense to keep up. I'll eat the reasonable chalk with the Tigers at home.

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