Minnesota vs. Michigan State - 10/14/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Michigan State Spartans (4-1) at Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-2)
College Football: Saturday, October 14, 2017 at 8:00 pm (TCF Bank Stadium)
The Line: Minnesota Golden Gophers +4 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Michigan State Spartans and Minnesota Golden Gophers meet Saturday in college football action at TCF Bank Stadium.
The Michigan State Spartans look for a third straight victory to build on their impressive upset over the Michigan Wolverines. The Michigan State Spartans have lost four of their last five road games. Brian Lewerke is completing 61.3 percent of his passes for 1,057 yards, nine touchdowns and two interceptions. Lewerke has at least one touchdown pass in his last six games. Felton Davis III and Darrell Stewart Jr. have combined for 477 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Matt Sokol has 11 receptions. The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 181.6 yards per contest, and Lewerke leads the way with 309 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 16.4 points and 258.6 yards per game. Joe Bachie leads the Michigan State Spartans with 44 tackles, Chris Frey has 2.5 sacks and David Dowell has two interceptions.
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The Minnesota Golden Gophers could use a feel good victory here that would snap a string of back-to-back losses. The Minnesota Golden Gophers have won 10 of their last 15 home games. Conor Rhoda is completing 55.7 percent of his passes for 786 yards, five touchdowns and four interceptions. Rhoda has three touchdown passes and three interceptions in his last two games. Tyler Johnson and Nate Wozniak have combined for 425 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Brandon Lingen has nine receptions. The Minnesota Golden Gophers ground game is averaging 190 yards per contest, and Rodney Smith leads the way with 398 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Minnesota is allowing 17.2 points and 314.4 yards per game. Jonathan Celestin leads the Minnesota Golden Gophers with 41 tackles, Carter Coughlin has 2.5 sacks and Jacob Huff has two interceptions.
The Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Golden Gophers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games, 1-3-2 ATS in their last 6 conference games and 7-1-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss. The Spartans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings, the underdog is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 meetings and the under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Minnesota has struggled to move the football during it's two-game losing streak, and neither Purdue or Maryland have the defense that Michigan State has. The Spartans have held Iowa and Michigan to a combined 20 points and have allowed 14 or less points in three of its four games this season overall. Let's not forget that Michigan State is probably an undefeated Big Ten contender right now if it didn't turn the ball over three times against Notre Dame. I get that this is a letdown spot for the Spartans after beating Michigan and Minnesota is good at home, but Michigan State is a well coached team and very disciplined, so you should see the same effort against the Golden Gophers. I'll lay the reasonable line with the better team on the road.