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Oklahoma State vs. Baylor - 10/14/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Baylor Bears (0-5) at Oklahoma State Cowboys (4-1)

College Football: Saturday, October 14, 2017 at 3:30 pm (Boone Pickens Stadium)

The Line: Oklahoma State Cowboys -23.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

The Baylor Bears and Oklahoma State Cowboys meet Saturday in college football action at Boone Pickens Stadium.

The Baylor Bears look for their first victory of the season when they take the road for the third time. The Baylor Bears have lost five straight road games. Zach Smith is completing 55.4 percent of his passes for 1,033 yards, eight touchdowns and five interceptions. Anu Solomon and Smith have combined for 12 touchdown passes and seven interceptions this season. Denzel Mims and Chris Platt have combined for 934 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns while Pooh Stricklin has 19 receptions. The Baylor Bears ground game is averaging 118.4 yards per contest, and John Lovett leads the way with 321 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Baylor is allowing 36.2 points and 471.8 yards per game. Clay Johnston leads the Baylor Bears with 43 tackles, Ira Lewis has 2.5 sacks and Henry Black has one interception. 

Oklahoma State vs. Baylor - 10/14/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Oklahoma State Cowboys look for their fifth victory of the season to remain in the Big 12 and CFB races. The Oklahoma State Cowboys have won six of their last seven home games. Mason Rudolph is completing 67.6 percent of his passes for 1,909 yards, 16 touchdowns and four interceptions. Rudolph has two or more touchdown passes in six straight games. James Washington and Marcell Ateman have combined for 1,096 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Jalen McCleskey has 21 receptions. The Oklahoma State Cowboys ground game is averaging 184.2 yards per contest, and Justice Hill leads the way with 516 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Oklahoma State is allowing 26 points and 369.6 yards per game. Chad Whitener leads the Oklahoma State Cowboys with 25 tackles, DeQuinton Osborne has three sacks and Justin Phillips has two interceptions.

The Bears are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games, 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games overall. The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games, 37-18-1 ATS in their last 56 games in October and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. The Bears are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 meetings in Oklahoma State, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 meetings and over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings in Oklahoma State.

Many would look at Baylor's record and predict Oklahoma State in a blowout, but the Bears have been able to compete in their losses, as they only lost to Kansas State on the road by 13 points and went back and forth with Oklahoma. All five of Baylor's losses this season have been decided by 14 or less points. Oklahoma State has been a little shaky recently, as that struggling defense is starting to rear its ugly head, allowing a combined 78 points in its last two games. Baylor has also won four of the last five meetings, even though this is a completely different Baylor team, obviously. The only real question I have with Baylor is just how motivated these guys are after an 0-5 start with the season pretty much over. Players could easily check out on the road if they get down quick. However, looking at the resumes and knowing the Bears ability to score, you have to like the value of the points here. 

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