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UCF vs. East Carolina - 10/14/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

East Carolina Pirates (1-5) at UCF Knights (4-0)

College Football: Saturday, October 14, 2017 at 7:00 pm (Bright House Networks Stadium)

The Line: UCF Knights -28.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: CBSSN

The East Carolina Pirates and UCF Knights meet Saturday in college football action at Spectrum Stadium.

The East Carolina Pirates look for their second road victory of the season to rebound from a brutal 1-5 start to the season. The East Carolina Pirates have lost seven of their last eight road games. Thomas Sirk is completing 56.6 percent of his passes for 1,382 yards, seven touchdowns and seven interceptions. Sirk and Gardner Minshew have combined for 10 touchdown passes and nine interceptions this season. Davon Grayson and Trevon Brown have combined for 919 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Jimmy Williams has 18 receptions. The East Carolina Pirates ground game is averaging 94 yards per contest, and Sirk leads the way with 145 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, East Carolina is allowing 47.8 points and 599.5 yards per game. Jordan Williams leads the East Carolina Pirates with 52 tackles, Kiante Anderson has 3.5 sacks and Bobby Fulp has one interception. 

UCF vs. East Carolina - 10/14/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The UCF Knights look to start the season 5-0 and remain the team to beat in the AAC. The UCF Knights have split their last eight home games. McKenzie Milton is completing 68.3 percent of his passes for 1,165 yards, 13 touchdowns and two interceptions. Milton has eight touchdown passes in his last two games. Tre'Quan Smith and Dredrick Snelson have combined for 550 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Jordan Akins has nine receptions. The UCF Knights ground game is averaging 222.2 yards per contest, and Adrian Killins, Jr. leads the way with 239 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Central Florida is allowing 15.8 points and 329.8 yards per game. Pat Jasinski leads the UCF Knights with 27 tackles, Jamiyus Pittman has two sacks and Mike Hughes has two interceptions.

The Pirates are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games, 5-22 ATS in their last 27 conference games and 10-29 ATS in their last 39 games overall. The Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Pirates are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings and the over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

East Carolina is the worst defensive team in the country and things don't seem to be geting better, as the Pirates have allowed 34 or more points in all six games this season. That's not good when you consider UCF has scored a combined 91 points in its last two games and is getting better and better play out of Milton each week. UCF also beat ECU on the road last season by 18 points, which is significant when you consider these Knights are far more complete than they were a year ago. While this is a lot of points to lay, I'm not sure how anybody can back East Carolina with any confidence considering it's allowing 600 yards of offense and allowing teams to convert 58 percent on third down, worst in the country. Give me UCF in a blowout. 

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