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West Virginia vs. Texas Tech - 10/14/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-1) at West Virginia Mountaineers (3-2)

College Football: Saturday, October 14, 2017 at 12:00 pm (Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium)

The Line: West Virginia Mountaineers -3 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPNU

The Texas Tech Red Raiders and West Virginia Mountaineers meet Saturday in college football action at Milan Puskar Stadium.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders look for a strong statement victory to stay in the competitive Big 12 race. The Texas Tech Red Raiders have split their last six road games. Nic Shimonek is completing 71.8 percent of his passes for 1,811 yards, 14 touchdowns and three interceptions. Shimonek has thrown one interception in each of his last three games. Keke Coutee and Dylan Cantrell have combined for 908 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Derrick Willies has 16 receptions. The Texas Tech Red Raiders ground game is averaging 163.2 yards per contest, and Justin Stockton leads the way with 385 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Texas Tech is allowing 27.8 points and 437.4 yards per game. Jordyn Brooks leads the Texas Tech Red Raiders with 42 tackles, Eli Howard has 2.5 sacks and Dakota Allen has two interceptions. 

West Virginia vs. Texas Tech - 10/14/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The West Virginia Mountaineers look to avoid back-to-back losses for the first time and stay unbeaten at home. The West Virginia Mountaineers have won eight of their last nine home games. Will Grier is completing 63 percent of his passes for 1,740 yards, 16 touchdowns and four interceptions. Grier has two or more touchdown passes in nine of his 11 career games. Gary Jennings and David Sills V have combined for 1,030 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Ka’Raun White has 23 receptions. The West Virginia Mountaineers ground game is averaging 213.2 yards per contest, and Justin Crawford leads the way with 562 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, West Virginia is allowing 25.3 points and 442 yards per game. Al-Rasheed Benton leads the West Virginia Mountaineers with 44 tackles, Ezekiel Rose has one sack and Kyzir White has two interceptions.

The Red Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 games overall. The Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win, 5-14 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games in October. The Red Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Texas Tech has two road victories this season already, but Houston and Kansas aren't the same as playing in Morgantown. West Virginia's only two losses this season have come away from home, and they were decided by a touchdown each against ranked teams. You have to be pleased with the way Grier has been playing this season, as he's really come into his own and has shown the ability to takeover a game. While the Red Raiders can obviously do their fair share of scoring as well, I'm not sure the defense is up to the task of slowing down these Mountaineers. At home with this low line, you have to give the edge to West Virginia, the better team. 

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