Wisconsin vs. Purdue - 10/14/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Purdue Boilermakers (3-2) at Wisconsin Badgers (5-0)
College Football: Saturday, October 14, 2017 at 3:30 pm (Camp Randall Stadium)
The Line: Wisconsin Badgers -16.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Purdue Boilermakers and Wisconsin Badgers meet Saturday in college football action at Camp Randall Stadium.
The Purdue Boilermakers look for a statement victory to build on their solid 3-2 record. The Purdue Boilermakers have lost four of their last six road games. David Blough is completing 68.9 percent of his passes for 688 yards, seven touchdowns and four interceptions. Blough and Elijah Sindelar have combined for 13 touchdown passes and six interceptions this season. Cole Herdman and Anthony Mahoungou have combined for 462 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Jackson Anthrop has 21 receptions. The Purdue Boilermakers ground game is averaging 136.2 yards per contest, and Tario Fuller leads the way with 261 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Purdue is allowing 20.8 points and 374.8 yards per game. T.J. McCollum leads the Purdue Boilermakers with 40 tackles, Danny Ezechukwu has two sacks and Kamal Hardy has one interception.
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The Wisconsin Badgers look for a 6-0 record to remain in the thick of the Big Ten title conversation. The Wisconsin Badgers have won six straight home games. Alex Hornibrook is completing 64.5 percent of his passes for 1,011 yards, 10 touchdowns and four interceptions. Hornibrook has six touchdown passes and three interceptions in his last three games. Quintez Cephus and Troy Fumagalli have combined for 568 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Danny Davis III has six receptions. The Wisconsin Badgers ground game is averaging 257.6 yards per contest, and Jonathan Taylor leads the way with 767 yards and nine touchdowns. Defensively, Wisconsin is allowing 14.2 points and 273.8 yards per game. D'Cota Dixon leads the Wisconsin Badgers with 36 tackles, Garret Dooley has 4.5 sacks and T.J. Edwards has two interceptions.
The Boilermakers are 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 road games, 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in October and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Badgers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 conference games and 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall. The Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Wisconsin, 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings and the road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
I said from the beginning of the season when Purdue met Lousiville that the Boilermakers are better than expected, and they've done nothing but compete and win three of their five games. Purdue's only losses were a seven point loss to the Cardinals and an 18-point loss to Michigan. Purdue is solid defensively and has a deep receiving core that allows them to move the ball and score at least 28 points in four of their five games. It may not be pretty all of the time, but it gets the job done, especially when you look at those trends. Wisconsin has one of the top defenses in the country, but the Badgers don't have an offense that runs away with things, and three of its last four victories have been decided by 21 or less points. This could be one of your fathers Big Ten games. Sloppy, sluggish and low scoring. I'll take my chance with the free points.