Air Force at Nevada - 10/20/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Air Force at Nevada - 10/20/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

Air Force Falcons (2-4) at Nevada Wolf Pack (1-6)

College Football: Friday, October 20, 2017 at 9:30 pm (Mackay Stadium)

The Line: Nevada Wolf Pack +7 -- Over/Under: 67.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Air Force Falcons and Nevada Wolf Pack meet Friday in college football action at Mackay Stadium.

The Air Force Falcons look for back-to-back wins for the first time this season while earning their first road victory. The Air Force Falcons have split their last eight road games. Arion Worthman is completing 49.2 percent of his passes for 725 yards, eight touchdowns and one interception. Worthman has two or more touchdown passes in three of his last six games. Marcus Bennett and Ronald Cleveland have combined for 435 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Geraud Sanders has seven receptions. The Air Force Falcons ground game is averaging 306.6 yards per contest, and Worthman leads the way with 550 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Air Force is allowing 31.8 points and 383 yards per game. Jack Flor leads the Air Force Falcons with 58 tackles, Santo Coppola has one sack and Jacob Stafford has one interception.   

The Nevada Wolf Pack also need a victory here in order to climb out of a deep 1-6 hole. The Nevada Wolf Pack have lost four of their last six home games. Ty Gangi is completing 58.8 percent of his passes for 1,435 yards, 14 touchdowns and six interceptions. Gangi has eight touchdown passes in his last two games. McLane Mannix and Wyatt Demps have combined for 1,087 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns while Brendan O'Leary-Orange has 12 receptions. The Nevada Wolf Pack ground game is averaging 128.5 yards per contest, and Kelton Moore leads the way with 442 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Nevada is allowing 35.6 points and 495.1 yards per game. Dameon Baber leads the Nevada Wolf Pack with 61 tackles, Malik Reed has 3.5 sacks and Vosean Crumbie has two interceptions.

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The Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in October and 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games in October. The under is 36-15 in Wolf Pack last 51 games overall and the over is 20-8 in Falcons last 28 games overall.

Neither one of these teams is playing a lick of defense, as Air Force has allowed 28 or more points in four straight games and 130 combined points in its last three road games. Meanwhile, Nevada is 122nd in total yards allowed per game and has given up 37 or more points in four of its last six games. The over is 20-8 in the Falcons last 28 games and 6-2 in Nevada's last eight conference games. Expect to see a lot of fireworks in this game. I'll take the over in this spot.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Over 67.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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