Michigan State vs. Indiana - 10/21/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Michigan State vs. Indiana - 10/21/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

Indiana Hoosiers (3-3) at Michigan State Spartans (5-1)

College Football: Saturday, October 21, 2017 at 3:30 pm (Spartan Stadium)

The Line: Michigan State Spartans -7 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Indiana Hoosiers and Michigan State Spartans meet Saturday in college football action at Spartan Stadium on ABC.

The Indiana Hoosiers look for a big road victory to get a game above a .500 record. The Indiana Hoosiers have split their last 10 road games. Peyton Ramsey is completing 62.3 percent of his passes for 815 yards, seven touchdowns and four interceptions. Peyton Ramsey and Richard Lagow have combined for 11 touchdown passes and seven interceptions this season. Simmie Cobbs Jr. and Ian Thomas have combined for 669 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Luke Timian has 29 receptions. The Indiana Hoosiers ground game is averaging 137.3 yards per contest, and Morgan Ellison leads the way with 426 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Indiana is allowing 25.8 points and 353 yards per game. Tegray Scales leads the Indiana Hoosiers with 48 tackles, Allen Stallings IV has 2.5 sacks and Jonathan Crawford has one interception.

The Michigan State Spartans look for a fourth straight victory to keep their lead in the Big Ten East. The Michigan State Spartans have lost six of their last 10 home games. Brian Lewerke is completing 60.1 percent of his passes for 1,177 yards, nine touchdowns and three interceptions. Lewerke has one combined touchdown pass and one interception in his last two games. Felton Davis III and Darrell Stewart Jr. have combined for 537 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Hunter Rison has nine receptions. The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 192.1 yards per contest, and LJ Scott leads the way with 408 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 18.2 points and 263.8 yards per game. Joe Bachie leads the Michigan State Spartans with 50 tackles, Chris Frey has 3.5 sacks and David Dowell has two interceptions.

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The Hoosiers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 conference games, 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October and 3-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Spartans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in October, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. The Hoosiers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Michigan State, 3-10 ATS in their last 13 meetings and the over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.

Indiana had a chance to beat Michigan last week and ended up losing in overtime after making a strong comeback. I like to fade teams coming off those emotional losses, as college kinds tend to fall for the letdown spots and struggle to get back up after a tough loss. Michigan State is coming off back-to-back impressive road victories and is starting to look more and more like the Spartans of years past. Indiana also isn't nearly the same team on the road as it is at home, averaging 85 less yards per game and was rocked by Penn State the last time it took to the road. This is a game the Michigan State Spartans should win by double digits. 

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Michigan State Spartans -7

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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