Navy vs. UCF - 10/21/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Navy vs. UCF - 10/21/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

UCF Knights (5-0) at Navy Midshipmen (5-1)

College Football: Saturday, October 21, 2017 at 3:30 pm (Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium)

The Line: Navy Midshipmen +6.5 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The UCF Knights and Navy Midshipmen meet Saturday in college football action at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.

The UCF Knights look to improve to 6-0 on the season to make a push towards an AAC title. The UCF Knights have won five of their last seven road games. McKenzie Milton is completing 70.3 percent of his passes for 1,489 yards, 15 touchdowns and two interceptions. Milton has two or more touchdown passes in four of the five games this season. Tre'Quan Smith and Jordan Akins have combined for 644 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Dredrick Snelson has 15 receptions. The UCF Knights ground game is averaging 225.4 yards per contest, and Adrian Killins, Jr. leads the way with 291 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Central Florida is allowing 16.8 points and 333.2 yards per game. Pat Jasinski leads the UCF Knights with 33 tackles, Jamiyus Pittman has two sacks and Mike Hughes has two interceptions. 

The Navy Midshipmen look to avoid back-to-back losses for the first time while remaining unbeaten at home. The Navy Midshipmen have won 14 of their last 15 home games. Zach Abey is completing 36.2 percent of his passes for 491 yards, five touchdowns and four interceptions. Abey has two touchdown passes and two interceptions in his last three games. Tyler Carmona and Darryl Bonner have combined for 316 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Malcolm Perry has five receptions. The Navy Midshipmen ground game is averaging 397.5 yards per contest, and Abey leads the way with 1,016 yards and 12 touchdowns. Defensively, Navy is allowing 28 points and 398.2 yards per game. Sean Williams leads the Navy Midshipmen with 43 tackles, D.J. Palmore has 2.5 sacks and Micah Thomas has one interception.

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The Knights are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 conference games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Midshipmen are 2-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 14-6-2 ATS in their last 22 conference games and 15-5 ATS in their last 20 home games. The over is 10-2 in Midshipmen last 12 home games and the under is 9-4 in Knights last 13 games overall.

It's always hard to turn down free points with Navy, as the team is so well coached and tough to defend, the Midshipmen always have a chance to win, especially at home. But just like last week, it's just not a good spot or matchup. While the schedule hasn't been crazy, UCF has beaten the doors off every team its played this season and is led by one of the top quarterbacks in the country as well as a top-30 defense. The Knights are the real deal on both sides of the ball, and it's always tough for Navy to match that considering they like to run the ball every play. Get down two scores, and it's usually curtains for this team. This should be another routine victory for the UCF Knights.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick UCF Knights -6.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

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