UMass vs. Georgia Southern - 10/21/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
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Georgia Southern Eagles (0-5) at Massachusetts Minutemen (0-6)
College Football: Saturday, October 21, 2017 at 3:30 pm (Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium)
The Line: Massachusetts Minutemen -7 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Georgia Southern Eagles will travel to Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium to take on the UMass Minutemen this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The Georgia Southern Eagles dropped to 0-5 (0-2 Sun Belt) on the season after falling to the New Mexico State Aggies 35-27, this past Saturday. Georgia Southern held a 27-21 lead entering the 4th quarter, but couldn’t hold on for their first win of the season after allowing New Mexico State to score 14 unanswered points to close out the game. The Eagles were outgained by the Aggies by a 491-265 margin, however, won the turnover battle by a 2-0 margin. Leading the way for Georgia Southern was RB Wesley Fields who carried the ball 13 times for 103 yards and 1 TD. On the season, the Eagles are averaging 17.6 ppg on 306.0 total yards per game (93.4 passing yds/g; 212.6 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Georgia State is led by dual threat QB Shai Werks who has completed 52.1% of his passes on the season for 3 TD and 4 INT while averaging passing 92.6 yds/g. Werks is also the leading rusher for Eagles as he is currently averaging 63.6 rushing yds/g on 22.2 att/g. Georgia Southern main targets at the receiver position are D'Ondre Glenn (.8 rec/g, 22.4 yds/g, TD) and Obe Fortune (1.6 rec/g, 21.8 yds/g, TD). The Eagles backfield is led by Wesley Fields (14.6 att/g, 58.4 yds/g, 2 TD) and L.A. Ramsby (13.2 att/g, 56.0 yds/g, 2 TD). Defensively, Georgia State is allowing their opponents to an average of 38.6 ppg on 429.6 total yards per game (242.6 passing yds/g; 187.0 rushing yds/g). The Panthers have forced 10 turnovers on the season and have a turnover margin of 0.
The UMass Minutemen dropped to 0-6 on the season after falling to the Ohio Bobcats 48-30, on September30th. UMass outgained Ohio by a 550-479 margin however, lost the turnover battle by a 2-0 margin. Leading the way for the Minutemen was QB Andrew Ford who completed 32 of 54 passes for 5 TD, 1 INT, and 390 passing yards. On the season, the Minutemen are averaging 25.7 ppg on 412.5 total yards per game (305.0 passing yds/g; 107.5 rushing yds/g). Offensively, UMass is led by QB Andrew Ford who has completed 63.0% of his passes on the season for 12 TD and 2 INT while averaging 287.2 passing yds/g. The pass catchers are led by TE Adam Breneman (7.2 rec/g, 100.0 yds/g, 2 TD), WR Andy Isabella (4.5 rec/g, 65.8 yds/g, 3 TD), and WR Sadiq Palmer (4.0 rec/g, 55.2 yds/g, TD). The UMass backfield is led by Marquis Young (14.67 att/g, 59.5 yds/g, 4 TD) and Bilai Ally (6.67 att/g, 27.17 yds/g). Defensively, UMass is holding their opponents to an average of 32.8 ppg on 409.2 total yards per game (212.2 passing yds/g; 197.0 rushing yds/g). The Minutemen have forced 2 turnovers on the season and have a turnover margin of –5.
The Eagles are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Minutemen are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record however, just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
I can’t imagine that too many folks, outside die-hard Georgia Southern and UMass fans, turning to watch this contest on Saturday. UMass had an extra week to prepare for this game after their game against South Florida was cancelled last week due to scheduling conflicts caused by Hurricane Irma, however, I’m finding it real hard to take an 0-6 team that is favored by at least a TD. I’m staying away from this game, however, as I think Georgia State will show a good effort knowing that this is probably their best opportunity for a victory this season, I’ll take the Eagles and the points.