UCF vs. Austin Peay - 10/28/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

UCF vs. Austin Peay - 10/28/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

Austin Peay Governors (5-3) at UCF Knights (6-0)

College Football: Saturday, October 28, 2017 at 5:00 pm (Bright House Networks Stadium)

The Line: UCF Knights -44.5 -- Over/Under: 56.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Austin Peay Governors and UCF Knights meet Saturday in college football action at Spectrum Stadium.

The Austin Peay Governors look for a monster upset victory to improve to 6-3 on the season. The Austin Peay Governors have lost eight of their last 10 road games. Jeremiah Oatsvall is completing 57.5 percent of his passes for 586 yards, three touchdowns and three interceptions. Oatsvall and JaVaughn Craig have combined for six touchdown passes and nine interceptions. Kyran Moore and Gorel Soumare have combined for 377 receiving yards and one touchdown while DJ Montgomery has 13 receptions. The Austin Peay Governors ground game is averaging 246.7 yards per contest, and Kentel Williams leads the way with 583 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Austin Peay is allowing 19.8 points and 297.6 yards per game. Gunnar Scholato leads the Austin Peay Governors with 67 tackles, Jason Williams has 5.5 sacks and Kordell Jackson has one interception. 

The UCF Knights look to improve to 7-0 on the season to remain in the drivers seat of an AAC crown. The UCF Knights have won six of their last 10 home games. McKenzie Milton is completing 69.5 percent of his passes for 1,722 yards, 16 touchdowns and three interceptions. Milton has two or more touchdown passes in four of the six games this season. Tre'Quan Smith and Dredrick Snelson have combined for 721 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Jordan Akins has 14 receptions. The UCF Knights ground game is averaging 229 yards per contest, and Adrian Killins, Jr. leads the way with 413 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Central Florida is allowing 17.5 points and 347.5 yards per game. Pat Jasinski leads the UCF Knights with 47 tackles, Jamiyus Pittman has two sacks and Kyle Gibson has three interceptions.

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The Governors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. The Knights are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Knights last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

If you think UCF is going to cover this large number, you might as well take the over, which seems to be the safer bet. Austin Peay is good for a touchdown or two in garbage time, and UCF has scored no less than 31 points in every game this season against much better talent. Instead of sweating out a large number, expect some fireworks and take the over. 

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Over 56.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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