Wyoming vs. New Mexico - 10/28/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Wyoming vs. New Mexico - 10/28/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

New Mexico Lobos (3-4) at Wyoming Cowboys (4-3)

College Football: Saturday, October 28, 2017 at 7:30 pm (War Memorial Stadium-WY)

The Line: Wyoming Cowboys -2.5 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The New Mexico Lobos will travel to War Memorial Stadium (WY) to take on the Wyoming Cowboys this Saturday night in College Football action.

The New Mexico Lobos dropped to 3-4 (1-3 MW) on the season after falling to the Colorado State Rams 27-24, this past Friday. New Mexico was just 2 of 12 on 3rd down attempts and couldn’t fight all the way back after falling behind by a 21-10 margin at halftime. The Lobos outgained the Rams by a 450-411 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. Leading the way for New Mexico was RB Tyrone Owens who carried the ball 16 times for 159 yards and a TD. On the season, the Lobos are averaging 25.1 ppg on 416.4 total yards per game (164.9 passing yds/g; 251.6 rushing yds/g). Offensively, New Mexico is led by RB's Tyrone Owens (11.3 att/g, 62.1 yds/g, 3 TD) and Richard McQuarley (9.6 att/g, 56.29 yds/g, 6 TD). QB Lamar Jordan (53.6 comp %, 3 TD, 2 INT / 6 att/g 22.3 yds/g) and QB Tevaka Tuioti (48.3 comp %, 3 TD, INT) have split QB duties for the Lobos. New Mexico’s receivers are led by Delane Hart-Johnson (1.4 rec/g, 35.4 yds/g, TD), Chris Davis Jr. (2.7 rec/g, 32.1 yds/g, TD) and Jay Griffin IV (1.7 rec/g, 31.7 yds/g, 3 TD). Defensively, New Mexico is holding their opponents to an average of 26.9 ppg on 380.7 total yards per game (233.0 passing yds/g; 147.7 rushing yds/g). The Lobos have forced 9 turnovers on the season and have an overall turnover margin of –5.

The Wyoming Cowboys dropped to 4-3 (2-1 MW) on the season after falling to the Boise State Broncos 24-14, this past Saturday. Wyoming held 7-3 at halftime, but had no answers for the Broncos offense in the 2nd half in the loss. The Cowboys were outgained by the Broncos by a 342-242 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 2-0 margin. Leading the way for Wyoming was QB Josh Allen who completed 12 of 27 passes for 131 yards, 1 TD, and 2 INT. On the season, the Cowboys are averaging 22.6 ppg on 278.0 total yards per game (178.3 passing yds/g; 99.7 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Wyoming is led by QB Josh Allen who has completed 55.7% of his passes on the season for 8 TD and 6 INT while averaging 173.7 passing yds/g. Allen has talent at the WR position in Austin Conway (5,0 rec/g, 40.1 yds/g, 2 TD) and C.J. Johnson (2.3 rec/g, 36.3 yds/g, 4 TD). The Cowboys backfield is led by Trey Woods (13.0 att/g, 54.2 yds/g, TD) and Kellen Overstreet (4.4 att/g, 16.3 yds/g, TD). Defensively, Wyoming is holding their opponents to an average of 21.6 ppg on 347.6 total yards per game (173.4 passing yds/g; 174.1 rushing yds/g). The Cowboys have forced 17 turnovers on the season and have an overall turnover margin of +9.

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The Lobos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games in October.

New Mexico has lost their last two games, being outscored by Fresno State and Colorado State by a 65-24 margin and has struggled on the road this season with their only win coming against a below average Tulsa team. Wyoming has one of the best QB’s in the country in Josh Allen and should be out for revenge after New Mexico handed the Cowboys a 56-35 loss last season. Wyoming is a tough place to play and as the Lobos offense has averaged just 9.0 ppg on the road this season, I think the Cowboys do enough in this one to cover this small home spread. Take Wyoming to cover. 

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Brett’s Pick Wyoming Cowboys -2.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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