Air Force vs. Army - 11/4/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Air Force vs. Army - 11/4/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

Army Black Knights (6-2) at Air Force Falcons (4-4)

College Football: Saturday, November 4, 2017 at 3:30 pm (Falcon Stadium)

The Line: Air Force Falcons -7.5 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Commander-In-Chief’s trophy is at stake when the Army Black Knights pay a visit to the Air Force Falcons in a week 9 college football matchup on Saturday afternoon.

The Army Black Knights will look to build on their 4th straight win, a 31-28 OT victory over Temple in their last outing. Ahmad Bradshaw, Kelvin Hopkins Jr. and Luke Langdon combined to throw for 141 yards on 8 of 18 passing, while combining as a team to rush for 248 yards on 50 carries, led by Darnell Woolfolk who racked up 132 rushing yards and 3 TDs in the loss. Kell Walker led the team with 3 catches for 59 yards while Jermaine Adams caught a pair of passes for 25 yards and a TD. Defensively, a James Nichtigal sack highlighted an otherwise frustrating outing for the Black Knights, giving up 506 yards of total offense in the win.

The Air Force Falcons will look to keep the momentum going after 3 straight wins to bring them back to .500 at 4-4 after a 45-28 win over Colorado State last time out. Arion Worthman threw for 64 yards, a touchdown and an interception on just 2 for 4 passing, while also leading the team in rushing with 25 carries for 117 yards and a touchdown. Jacob Stafford added 9 carries for 104 yards and a TD, while Taven Birdow chipped in 67 yards and 2 touchdowns on 15 carries. Altogether, the Falcons combined to rack up 421 rushing yards on 68 carries. Ryan Reffitt’s lone reception went 56 yards for a touchdown in the winning effort. Defensively, the Falcons combined for a sack and 3 interceptions while allowing the Rams to hold the ball for just over 18 minutes in the game while giving up 435 yards of total offense in that short span.

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Army is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against the Mountain West conference while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 road games. Air Force is 13-3 in their last 16 non-conference games and 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a win while the over is 22-8 in their last 30 games overall. Army is 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

I know the points with Army are tempting, especially with the hook. However, Army have won only 3 meetings against Air Force since 1989, including Air Force wins in 7 of the last 8 meetings, all of which have come by double digits. These two teams run the same style of offense, and I feel that Air Force has the advantage here of being at home as well, somewhere that Army has struggled ATS, so I’ll lay the points with Air Force here.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Chris’s Pick Air Force -7.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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