Michigan vs. Minnesota - 11/4/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Michigan vs. Minnesota - 11/4/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-3) at Michigan Wolverines (5-2)

College Football: Saturday, November 4, 2017 at 3:33 pm (Michigan Stadium)

The Line: Michigan Wolverines -14.5 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Minnesota Golden Gophers and Michigan Wolverines meet Saturday in college football action at the Michigan Stadium.

The Minnesota Golden Gophers could use a strong road win here after losing four of their last five games overall. The Minnesota Golden Gophers have lost four of their last five road games. Conor Rhoda is completing 54.1 percent of his passes for 839 yards, five touchdowns and four interceptions. Rhoda and Demry Croft have combined for nine touchdown passes and eight interceptions this season. Tyler Johnson and Nate Wozniak have combined for 695 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Eric Carter has four receptions. The Minnesota Golden Gophers ground game is averaging 182.2 yards per contest, and Rodney Smith leads the way with 627 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Minnesota is allowing 18.8 points and 316.8 yards per game. Thomas Barber leads the Minnesota Golden Gophers with 75 tackles, Carter Coughlin has 4.5 sacks and Jacob Huff has three interceptions.  

The Michigan Wolverines could use a spark of consistency here after splitting their last four games. The Michigan Wolverines have won 11 of their last 12 home games. John O'Korn is completing 55.2 percent of his passes for 742 yards, one touchdown and five interceptions. O'Korn has zero touchdown passes and four interceptions in his last four games. Grant Perry and Sean McKeon have combined for 508 receiving yards and one touchdown while Tarik Black has 11 receptions. The Michigan Wolverines ground game is averaging 193.3 yards per contest, and Karan Higdon leads the way with 604 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan is allowing 18 points and 255.5 yards per game. Devin Bush leads the Michigan Wolverines with 66 tackles, Chase Winovich has seven sacks and Lavert Hill has two interceptions.

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The Golden Gophers are 7-1-4 ATS in their last 12 road games, 22-5-2 ATS in their last 29 games in November and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Wolverines are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games, 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Golden Gophers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings and the over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

Maybe oddmakers or bettors aren't watching the same Michigan Wolverines as I, but they shouldn't be laying big chalk to anybody. Yes, the defense is still one of the best in college football, but the offense struggles to do anything with O'Korn at quarterback to the point Brandon Peters is getting some reps now. I'm not exactly going to trust a sophomore with 15 career pass attempts against this solid Minnesota defense, either. The Golden Gophers haven't been able to win games as of late, but all four of their losses have been decided by 14 or less points, and they just went toe-to-toe with Iowa on the road. This is too many points for me to lay with Michigan against a decent football team, as the offense is hasn't improved enough. Give me my free touchdowns. 

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Minnesota Golden Gophers +14.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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