SMU vs. UCF - 11/4/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

SMU vs. UCF - 11/4/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

UCF Knights (7-0) at SMU Mustangs (6-2)

College Football: Saturday, November 4, 2017 at 3:33 pm (Gerald J. Ford Stadium)

The Line: SMU Mustangs +13 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The UCF Knights and SMU Mustangs meet Saturday in college football action at the Gerald J. Ford Stadium.

The UCF Knights hope to remain undefeated while staying in the drivers seat for an AAC title. The UCF Knights have won six of their last eight road games. McKenzie Milton is completing 72.9 percent of his passes for 1,977 yards, 19 touchdowns and three interceptions. Milton has two or more touchdown passes in four of his last five games. Tre'Quan Smith and Dredrick Snelson have combined for 875 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns while Jordan Akins has 17 receptions. The UCF Knights ground game is averaging 216.5 yards per contest, and Adrian Killins, Jr. leads the way with 430 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Central Florida is allowing 19.7 points and 348.3 yards per game. Pat Jasinski leads the UCF Knights with 57 tackles, Jamiyus Pittman has two sacks and Kyle Gibson has three interceptions. 

The SMU Mustangs look to stay hot after winning four of their last five games. The SMU Mustangs have won six of their last nine home games. Ben Hicks is completing 60.1 percent of his passes for 2,305 yards, 19 touchdowns and six interceptions. Hicks has two or more touchdown passes in 10 of his last 11 games. Trey Quinn and Courtland Sutton have combined for 1,580 receiving yards and 16 touchdowns while James Proche has 23 receptions. The SMU Mustangs ground game is averaging 187.1 yards per contest, and Xavier Jones leads the way with 616 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, SMU is allowing 31 points and 439.6 yards per game. Mikial Onu leads the SMU Mustangs with 65 tackles, Justin Lawler has 7.5 sacks and Jordan Wyatt has two interceptions.

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The Knights are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games, 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 conference games and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Mustangs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in November and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. The home team is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

This feels like a lot of points to give a good SMU team that's been consistent overall and very good at home. The Mustangs don't have a bad loss yet this year and have the offense to hang around with the UCF Knights. Not to mention Central Florida did have its struggles last week, allowing Austin Peay to drop 33 points in its first three quarters. If the Governers could have success against this Knights defense on the road, I'm sure SMU can hold its own at home. I'll take a stab with the points and the home team. 

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick SMU Mustangs +13

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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