UCONN vs. USF - 11/4/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

UCONN vs. USF - 11/4/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

USF Bulls (7-1) at UCONN Huskies (3-5)

College Football: Saturday, November 4, 2017 at 3:33 pm (Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field)

The Line: UCONN Huskies +23 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The South Florida Bulls and UConn Huskies meet Saturday in college football action at the Rentschler Field.

The South Florida Bulls hope to avoid back-to-back losses as they remain in the thick of things for an AAC title. The South Florida Bulls have won five straight road games. Quinton Flowers is completing 53.3 percent of his passes for 1,570 yards, 12 touchdowns and three interceptions. Flowers has zero touchdown passes in three of his last five games. Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Tyre McCants have combined for 825 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Darnell Salomon has 17 receptions. The South Florida Bulls ground game is averaging 284.1 yards per contest, and Darius Tice leads the way with 726 yards and nine touchdowns. Defensively, USF is allowing 19.9 points and 319.3 yards per game. Auggie Sanchez leads the South Florida Bulls with 57 tackles, Mike Love has 4.5 sacks and Devin Abraham has four interceptions. 

The UConn Huskies look for their first win over a ranked team this season while giving themselves a shot at becoming bowl eligible. The UConn Huskies have lost six of their last eight home games. Bryant Shirreffs is completing 65 percent of his passes for 2,154 yards, 13 touchdowns and four interceptions. Shirreffs has one or less touchdown passes in six of his last 10 games. Hergy Mayala and Arkeel Newsome have combined for 865 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Aaron McLean has 19 receptions. The UConn Huskies ground game is averaging 130.6 yards per contest, and Nate Hopkins leads the way with 301 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, UConn is allowing 38.5 points and 548.4 yards per game. Junior Joseph leads the UConn Huskies with 68 tackles, Cole Ormsby has six sacks and Tyler Coyle has two interceptions.

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The Bulls are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 conference games. The Huskies are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 home games, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 conference games and 16-41-1 ATS in their last 58 games overall. The underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings, the Bulls are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

USF has been a little shaky recently, as it barely escaped Tulane and just lost to Houston despite being a decent favorite. Flowers isn't throwing for touchdowns all of a sudden and the defense has allowed more than 800 yards in the last two games combined. That's good enough reason to back UConn and the points at home. However, the Huskies have gotten blown out by every team this season that has more talent than them. UConn has also scored 28 or less points in six of its eight games, something that won't be good enough to hang with USF even if its struggling. Won't bet this game with better options on the board, but if forced to pick, USF should blow things out. 

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick South Florida Bulls -23

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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