Air Force vs. Wyoming - 11/11/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Air Force vs. Wyoming - 11/11/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

Wyoming Cowboys (6-3) at Air Force Falcons (4-5)

College Football: Saturday, November 11, 2017 at 10:15 pm (Falcon Stadium)

The Line: Air Force Falcons -3 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Wyoming Cowboys will travel to Falcon Stadium to take on the Air Force Falcons this Saturday night in College Football action.

The Wyoming Cowboys improved to 6-3 (4-1 MW) on the season after defeating the Colorado State Rams 16-13, this past Saturday. Wyoming was down by a 10-6 margin at halftime, however, was outstanding on the defensive end in the 2nd half and scored just enough to secure the victory. The Cowboys were outgained the Rams by a 345-294 margin however, did hold the Colorado State passing attack to just 110 yards. Leading the way for Wyoming was QB Josh Allen who completed 10 of 20 passes for 138 yards and also carried the ball 12 times for 60 yards. On the season, the Cowboys are averaging 24.0 ppg on 283.2 total yards per game (180.0 passing yds/g; 103.2 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Wyoming is led by QB Josh Allen who has completed 55.4% of his passes on the season for 12 TD and 6 INT while averaging 176.4 passing yds/g. The Cowboys and Allen have talented receivers in Austin Conway (4.3 rec/g, 39.4 yds/g, 2 TD) and C.J. Johnson (2.2 rec/g, 37.0 yds/g, 5 TD). The Wyoming backfield is led by Trey Woods (12.6 att/g, 46.1 yds/g, TD) and Kellen Overstreet (5.0 att/g, 20.1 yds/g, 2 TD). Defensively, Wyoming is holding their opponents to an average of 18.6 ppg on 329.2 total yards per game (154.8 passing yds/g; 174.4 rushing yds/g). The Cowboys have forced 24 turnovers on the season and have an overall turnover margin of +15.

The Air Force Falcons dropped to 4-5 (3-2 MW) on the season after falling to the Army Black Knights 21-0, this past Saturday. The Air Force had no answer for the Army defense and was held scoreless for the first time in 306 games. Air Force was outgained by Army by a 392-184 margin and neither team had a turnover. Leading the way for the Falcons was RB Tim McVey who carried the ball 10 times for 39 yards. On the season, Air Force is averaging 34.0 ppg on 432.2 total yards per game (110.9 passing yds/g, 321.3 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Air Force is led by their triple-option rushing attack which currently ranks 6th in the country in rushing offense. Leading the rushing attack has been RB Tim McVey (11.4 att/g, 72.3 yds/g, 6 TD), QB Arion Worthman (22.2 att/g, 88.1 yds/g, 13 TD), RB Parker Wilson (6.3 att/g, 28.6 yds/g), and WR Ronald Cleveland (4.0 att/g, 41.2 yds/g, 3 TD). QB Arion Worthman has completed 50.6% passes on the season for 9 TD and 3 INT while averaging 102.8 passing yds/g. WR Marcus Bennett (1.3 rec/g, 30.4 yds/g, 2 TD), WR Ronald Cleveland (1.0 rec/g, 26.0 yds/g, 2 TD), and WR Geraud Sanders (.9 rec/g, 18.4 yds/g, 3 TD) are the leading receivers for the Falcons. Defensively, Air Force is allowing their opponents to an average of 35.3 ppg on 443.6 total yards per game (162.8 passing yds/g, 280.9 rushing yds/g). Air Force has forced 8 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover margin of –5.

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The Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 conference games. The Falcons are 15-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record however, just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 conference games.

Wyoming had a tough start to their season as they didn’t look great in nationally televised games against Iowa and Oregon, however, the Cowboys have shown why they are one of teams to beat in the Mountain West as they are led by an outstanding QB in Josh Rosen and a defense that leads the country in turnover margin. Even after being held scoreless against Army, Air Force come into this matchup with the 30th ranked scoring offense in the country and will need their defense, which ranks just 100th in scoring defense, to find answers in slowing down Josh allen and the Cowboys offense. With all the talk about Josh Allen in the pre-season, I think the public started to underestimate this Wyoming team after two poor performances against Iowa and Oregon. I think the Cowboys defense will give the Air Force offense some trouble in this one and as Wyoming should be able to force some turnovers, I think Wyoming and the points are the play here.  

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Brett’s Pick Wyoming Cowboys +3

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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