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Alabama at Mississippi State - 11/11/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Alabama Crimson Tide (9-0) at Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-2)

College Football: Saturday, November 11, 2017 at 7:00 pm (Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field)

The Line: Mississippi State Bulldogs +13.5 -- Over/Under: 50.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Alabama Crimson Tide and Mississippi State Bulldogs meet Saturday in college football action at Davis Wade Stadium.

The Alabama Crimson Tide look to improve to 10-0 on the season to remain in the CFB playoff conversation. The Alabama Crimson Tide havent lost a road game since October of 2014. Jalen Hurts is completing 60.6 percent of his passes for 1,406 yards, 10 touchdowns and one interception. Hurts has one touchdown pass in each of his last four games. Calvin Ridley and Jerry Jeudy have combined for 792 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Henry Ruggs III has six receptions. The Alabama Crimson Tide ground game is averaging 278.4 yards per contest, and Damien Harris leads the way with 730 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Alabama is allowing 9.8 points and 243.8 yards per game. Ronnie Harrison leads the Alabama Crimson Tide with 50 tackles, Raekwon Davis has 6.5 sacks and Levi Wallace has three interceptions. 

Alabama at Mississippi State - 11/11/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Mississippi State Bulldogs look for a fifth straight victory and second win of the year over a ranked team. The Mississippi State Bulldogs have won five straight home games. Nick Fitzgerald is completing 56.8 percent of his passes for 1,459 yards, 13 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Fitzgerald has three touchdown passes and three interceptions in his last three games. Keith Mixon and Donald Gray have combined for 469 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Jesse Jackson has 20 receptions. The Mississippi State Bulldogs ground game is averaging 259.3 yards per contest, and Fitzgerald leads the way with 801 yards and 12 touchdowns. Defensively, Mississippi State is allowing 18 points and 289.3 yards per game. Dezmond Harris leads the Mississippi State Bulldogs with 55 tackles, Montez Sweat has 6.5 sacks and Mark McLaurin has two interceptions. 

The Crimson Tide are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in November and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games on grass. The Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. The home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings and the under is 14-3-1 in the last 18 meetings. The under is 5-2 in Bulldogs last 7 games overall and the under is 19-9 in Crimson Tide last 28 games on grass.

The one thing Alabama has struggled with under Nick Saban is a dual threat quarterback, and Fitzgerald is one of the better in the country. Alabama is played only two true road games this season and is coming off a physical contest against LSU. We've also seen Mississippi State get up for the big home games this season, and the Bulldogs have done a great job of passing those tests, which includes a win over LSU, which is looking better and better each week. This game could be a lot like Alabama - Texas A&M, where it has a back and forth feel to it. I'll take my chances with the two free touchdowns and the home team.

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