Navy vs. SMU - 11/11/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Navy vs. SMU - 11/11/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

SMU Mustangs (6-3) at Navy Midshipmen (5-3)

College Football: Saturday, November 11, 2017 at 3:30 pm (Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium)

The Line: Navy Midshipmen -4.5 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The SMU Mustangs and Navy Midshipmen meet Saturday in college football action at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.

The SMU Mustangs look for their second road win of the season to get to seven wins for the first time since 2012. The SMU Mustangs have split their last six road games. Ben Hicks is completing 59.1 percent of his passes for 2,588 yards, 20 touchdowns and six interceptions. Hicks has two or more touchdown passes in 10 of his last 12 games. Trey Quinn and Courtland Sutton have combined for 1,673 receiving yards and 16 touchdowns while James Proche has 30 receptions. The SMU Mustangs ground game is averaging 189.2 yards per contest, and Xavier Jones leads the way with 700 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, SMU is allowing 31 points and 459.1 yards per game. Mikial Onu leads the SMU Mustangs with 74 tackles, Justin Lawler has 7.5 sacks and Jordan Wyatt has three interceptions. 

The Navy Midshipmen look to snap a three-game losing streak while becoming bowl eligible for a sixth straight season. The Navy Midshipmen have won 14 of their last 16 home games. Zach Abey is completing 41.7 percent of his passes for 717 yards, six touchdowns and six interceptions. Abey has one touchdown pass and four interceptions in his last three games. Tyler Carmona and Malcolm Perry have combined for 600 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Darryl Bonner has seven receptions. The Navy Midshipmen ground game is averaging 346.1 yards per contest, and Abey leads the way with 1,202 yards and 13 touchdowns. Defensively, Navy is allowing 29.1 points and 408.1 yards per game. Sean Williams leads the Navy Midshipmen with 57 tackles, D.J. Palmore has 2.5 sacks and Micah Thomas has two interceptions.

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The Mustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The Midshipmen are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 home games, 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in November and 0-2-2 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Mustangs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Navy and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The over is 10-3 in Midshipmen last 13 home games and the under is 4-0 in Mustangs last 4 games overall.

I can't lay chalk with Navy without knowing if Abey is going to play due to a shoulder injury. Besides, Navy hasn't looked good during it's three-game losing streak and it's fair to say the SMU Mustangs are in better form anyway. SMU has been a consistent scoring team this season and has faced some quality squads in TCU and UCF, so this is a team that's battle tested. There's also the big game with Notre Dame coming up for Navy, so there is a bit of a lookahead factor here. But when it's all said and done, I'm not laying chalk without knowing if Navy has its starting quarterback. Give me the points. 

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick SMU Mustangs +4.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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