Northwestern vs. Purdue - 11/11/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Northwestern vs. Purdue - 11/11/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

Purdue Boilermakers (4-5) at Northwestern Wildcats (6-3)

College Football: Saturday, November 11, 2017 at 7:00 pm (Ryan Field)

The Line: Northwestern Wildcats -6 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Purdue Boilermakers and Northwestern Wildcats meet Saturday in college football action at Ryan Field.

The Purdue Boilermakers look for back-to-back victories for the second time this season to get back to a .500 record. The Purdue Boilermakers have lost six of their last eight road games. David Blough is completing 65 percent of his passes for 1,103 yards, nine touchdowns and four interceptions. Blough has two touchdown passes and zero interceptions in his last three games. Jackson Anthrop and Anthony Mahoungou have combined for 667 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Brycen Hopkins has 19 receptions. The Purdue Boilermakers ground game is averaging 159.3 yards per contest, and D.J. Knox leads the way with 387 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Purdue is allowing 18.9 points and 367.3 yards per game. Ja'Whaun Bentley leads the Purdue Boilermakers with 74 tackles, Markus Bailey has five sacks and Kamal Hardy has one interception. 

The Northwestern Wildcats look for a fifth straight victory to improve the quality of their upcoming bowl game. The Northwestern Wildcats have won seven of their last 10 home games. Clayton Thorson is completing 60.7 percent of his passes for 2,287 yards, 10 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Thorson has one or less touchdown passes in five of his last eight games. Bennett Skowronek and Macan Wilson have combined for 814 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Flynn Nagel has 35 receptions. The Northwestern Wildcats ground game is averaging 139.3 yards per contest, and Justin Jackson leads the way with 798 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, Northwestern is allowing 24.2 points and 383 yards per game. Paddy Fisher leads the Northwestern Wildcats with 88 tackles, Joe Gaziano has six sacks and Kyle Queiro has three interceptions.

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The Boilermakers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games, 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games on grass and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Boilermakers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings in Northwestern, the road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings. The under is 36-15-1 in Wildcats last 52 home games and the under is 4-0 in Boilermakers last 4 games overall.

Purdue continues to play hot and cold football and a home win over lousy Illinois doesn't exactly change how I feel about the inconsistent Boilermakers. Northwestern has won four straight and while many of those wins haven't been pretty, winning three straight in overtime is impressive and should create confidence. Northwestern is a much better home team than away, and it seems like the offense is picking up as of late. Even though Northwestern has played many games close to the vest, it's still better than what Purdue has shown the last month or so. I'll take the home team by a touchdown.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Northwestern Wildcats -6

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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