Texas Tech vs. Baylor - 11/11/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Texas Tech vs. Baylor - 11/11/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

Baylor Bears (1-8) at Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-5)

College Football: Saturday, November 11, 2017 at 12:00 pm (AT&T Stadium)

The Line: Texas Tech Red Raiders -7.5 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Texas Tech Red Raiders and Baylor Bears meet Saturday in college football action at AT&T Stadium.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders need a win here to snap a four-game losing streak and get back to a .500 record. The Texas Tech Red Raiders have lost two of their last three neutral site games. Nic Shimonek is completing 69 percent of his passes for 3,068 yards, 26 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Shimonek has four touchdown passes in three of his last four games. Keke Coutee and Dylan Cantrell have combined for 1,655 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns while Cameron Batson has 48 receptions. The Texas Tech Red Raiders ground game is averaging 152.4 yards per contest, and Justin Stockton leads the way with 525 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Texas Tech is allowing 34.1 points and 445.3 yards per game. Jah'Shawn Johnson leads the Texas Tech Red Raiders with 67 tackles, Eli Howard has 4.5 sacks and Justus Parker has three interceptions. 

The Baylor Bears look for another feel good victory to rebound from a rough 1-8 record. The Baylor Bears have won three of their last four neutral site games. Charlie Brewer is completing 67.1 percent of his passes for 646 yards, five touchdowns and one interception. Brewer enters this game with 76 career pass attempts under his belt. Denzel Mims and Chris Platt have combined for 1,250 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns while Pooh Stricklin has 23 receptions. The Baylor Bears ground game is averaging 121 yards per contest, and John Lovett leads the way with 405 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Baylor is allowing 36.1 points and 479.4 yards per game. Clay Johnston leads the Baylor Bears with 54 tackles, Ira Lewis has 3.5 sacks and Henry Black has one interception.

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The Red Raiders are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in November, 5-12 ATS in their last 17 neutral site games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games, 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November. The Red Raiders are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings in Baylor, the favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings and the over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings. The over is 19-9 in Bears last 28 games in November and the over is 4-0 in Red Raiders last 4 games in November.

Texas Tech needs this game if it wants any chance to reach a bowl game this season, while Baylor just wants another win to not only play spoiler but to climb out of this rough 1-8 hole. I'm not sure how anybody can lay chalk with Texas Tech, as the defense has been getting rocked lately and that includes allowing Kansas State to comeback last week and beat the Red Raiders in overtime. And while Baylor has been piling up the losses, four of those seven came by eight or less points, and the Bears still show the ability to score points in bunches. This could be a back-and-forth game, and based on the way Texas Tech has been playing lackluster football, this is a game Baylor could win outright in Jerry's World. I'll take my free touchdown with the hook.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Baylor Bears +7.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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