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Bowling Green vs. Toledo - 11/15/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Toledo Rockets (8-2) at Bowling Green Falcons (2-8)

College Football: Wednesday, November 15, 2017 at 8:00 pm (Doyt Perry Stadium)

The Line: Bowling Green Falcons +17 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN U

The Toledo Rockets will travel to Doyt Perry Stadium to take on the Bowling Green Falcons this Wednesday night in College Football action.

The Toledo Rockets dropped to 8-2 (5-1 MAC) on the season after falling to the Ohio Bobcats 38-10, this past Wednesday. Toledo went into halftime trailing by a 10-7 margin however, could never get the offense rolling in the 2nd half and couldn’t fight back after trailing by 24-10 margin at the end of the 3rd quarter. The Rockets were outgained by the Cardinals by a 532-316 margin and won the turnover battle by a 3-2 margin. Leading the way for Toledo was QB Logan Woodside who completed 24 of 35 passes for 263 yards and a TD. On the season, the Rockets are averaging 36.1 ppg on 497.6 total yards per game (294.0 passing yds/g; 203.6 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Toledo is led by QB Logan Woodside who has completed 64.8% of his passes on the season for 20 TD and 2 INT while averaging 291.9 passing yds/g. The main receiving threats for Woodside and the Rockets have been Cody Thompson (5.6 rec/g, 107.4 yds/g, 4 TD), Diontae Johnson (5.5 rec/g, 100.3 yds/g, 9 TD) and Jon'Vea Johnson (2.9 rec/g, 42.0 yds/g, 3 TD). Toledo’s backfield is led by Terry Swanson (18.4 att/g, 94.9 yds/g, 11 TD), Art Thompkins (8.5 att/g, 46.6 yds/g, TD), and Shakif Seymour (8.2 att/g, 54.4 yds/g, 6 TD). Defensively, Toledo is allowing their opponents to an average of 35.6 ppg on 387.0 total yds per game (199.7 passing yds/g; 187.3 rushing yds/g). The Rockets have forced 15 turnovers on the season and have an overall turnover margin of +6.

Bowling Green vs. Toledo - 11/15/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Bowling Green Falcons dropped to 2-8 (2-4 MAC) on the season after falling to the Buffalo Bulls 38-28, this past Tuesday. Bowling Green fought back after trailing by a 21-7 margin at the end of the 1st quarter, however, couldn’t secure the comeback victory after Buffalo took a 38-28 lead with 8:53 left in regulation. The Falcons were outgained by Bulls by a 582-394 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 3-2 difference. Leading the way for the Falcons was QB Jarret Doege who completed 28 of 43 passes for 294 yards and 3 TD. On the season, Bowling Green is averaging 23.6 ppg on 378.4 total yards per game (225.5 passing yds/g; 152.9 rushing yds/g). Offensively, the Falcons are led by QB Jarret Doege who has completed 66.1% of his passes on the season for 6 TD and 1 INT while averaging 171.0 yds/g. Bowling Green's primary passing targets are Datrin Guyton (2.2 rec/g, 43.3 yds/g, TD), Scott Miller (5.2 rec/g, 57.1 yds/g, 3 TD) and Teo Redding (4.6 rec/g, 58.4 yds/g, 5 TD). Leading the way for the Bowling Green backfield is RB Josh Cleveland (12.0 Att/g, 59.6 yds/g, 3 TD) and Andrew Clair (9.9 att/g, 72.2 yds/g, 4 TD). Defensively, the Falcons are allowing their opponents to average of 35.6 ppg on 505.2 total yards per game (266.8 passing yds/g; 238.4 rushing yds/g). Bowling Green has forced 23 turnovers on the season and have an overall turnover margin of +1.

The Rockets are 10-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Falcons are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games however, are just 1-11 ATS in their last 12 home games.

The Bowling Green offense has started to come around as of late since QB Jarret Doege has taken over the starting duties, however, the Falcons will have trouble securing anymore wins on their season if their defensive doesn’t improve as it currently ranks 112th in scoring defense. Toledo still controls their fate in the MAC conference, however, has no room for error after the offense struggled in their recent loss again Ohio. Toledo is a much better team than what we saw last week and as the offense should be able to get back on track against the Falcons defense, I think Toledo wins big knowing they must win out to reach the MAC Championship. 

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