Baylor vs. Iowa State - 11/18/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Baylor vs. Iowa State - 11/18/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

Iowa State Cyclones (6-4) at Baylor Bears (1-9)

College Football: Saturday, November 18, 2017 at 2:30 pm (McLane Stadium)

The Line: Baylor Bears +9.5 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Iowa State Cyclones and Baylor Bears meet Saturday in college football action at McLane Stadium.

The Iowa State Cyclones hope to snap a string of back-to-back losses while winning seven games for the first time since 2009. The Iowa State Cyclones have won four of their last five road games. Kyle Kempt is completing 66.9 percent of his passes for 1,209 yards, 11 touchdowns and three interceptions. Kempt has four touchdown passes and two interceptions in his last three games. Allen Lazard and Hakeem Butler have combined for 1,148 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns while Marchie Murdock has 33 receptions. The Iowa State Cyclones ground game is averaging 110.9 yards per contest, and David Montgomery leads the way with 936 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, Iowa State is allowing 21.9 points and 382.6 yards per game. Joel Lanning leads the Iowa State Cyclones with 99 tackles, JaQuan Bailey has five sacks and Kamari Cotton-Moya has three interceptions. 

The Baylor Bears hope to win their first home game of the season to rebound from a brutal 1-9 record. The Baylor Bears have lost seven straight home games. Charlie Brewer is completing 67.6 percent of his passes for 1,063 yards, eight touchdowns and two interceptions. Brewer has six touchdown passes and one interception in his last two games. Denzel Mims and Chris Platt have combined for 1,402 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns while Pooh Stricklin has 31 receptions. The Baylor Bears ground game is averaging 119.5 yards per contest, and John Lovett leads the way with 419 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Baylor is allowing 36.3 points and 465.2 yards per game. Clay Johnston leads the Baylor Bears with 60 tackles, Taylor Young has 4.5 sacks and Henry Black has one interception.

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The Cyclones are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games, 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall. The Bears are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games on grass and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in November. The Cyclones are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Baylor, 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the home team is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

Iowa State has cooled off a bit with back-to-back losses and its last three games overall have been decided by seven or less points. Six of Baylor's nine losses have been decided by 14 or less points, and the offense has found a spark in Brewer leading the way at quarterback. While past Baylor teams aren't in the same boat as this one, the Bears have also won the last four games against the Cyclones. Baylor hasn't been blown out often this season, and there's a group of close seniors who will do whatever they can to end their careers with a home victory. I'll take the Baylor Bears to keep this within single digits.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Baylor Bears +9.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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