Miami-FL vs. Virginia - 11/18/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Virginia Cavaliers (6-4) at Miami-FL Hurricanes (9-0)
College Football: Saturday, November 18, 2017 at 12:00 pm (Hard Rock Stadium)
The Line: Miami-FL Hurricanes -17 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Down in Miami Gardens at Hard Rock Stadium on Saturday, the Virginia Cavaliers and the Miami Hurricanes will be matching up in ACC college football action.
The Cavaliers are coming into this one at 6-4 on the year and have lost three of their last four games to Boston College, Pitt and Louisville. In that Cardinals game, Virginia QB Kurt Benkert put up 214 yards with one TD and one INT.
USA TODAY Sports
So far this season, Benkert has 2492 yards with 21 TDS and seven picks, and Jordan Ellis leads the Virginia rush with 183 carries for 766 yards and six touchdowns. Olamide Zaccheaus is the top Cavaliers receiver with 70 grabs for 727 yards and four TDs.
Miami is currently 9-0 on the season and over their last four games they’ve beaten Syracuse, North Carolina, Virginia Tech and Notre Dame. In that Irish game, Miami QB Malik Rosier put up 137 yards and a TD.
On the year, Rosier has 2410 yards with 20 TDs and seven picks, and Travis Homer is the top Miami rusher with 113 carries for 728 yards and six TDs. Braxton Berrios leads the Hurricanes in receiving with 38 catches for 484 yards and eight TDs.
The Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS versus a team with a winning record and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games. Virginia is also 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss.
Meanwhile, Miami is 8-0 ATS in their last eight games in November and 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS win. The Hurricanes are also 10-4 ATS in their last 14 overall and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 conference games.
After a strong first half of the season, Virginia has stalled out over their last four games. They’ve given up at least 31 points in each of those. Miami, meanwhile, destroyed a good Notre Dame team in their last outing, and they’ve given up 19 points or fewer in each of their last four games. I don’t see many scenarios in which Virginia keeps this close, so I’m going with Miami for a cover.