Oregon State vs. Arizona State - 11/18/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Arizona State Sun Devils (5-5) at Oregon State Beavers (1-9)
College Football: Saturday, November 18, 2017 at 3:00 pm (Reser Stadium)
The Line: Oregon State Beavers +6.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: Pac-12 Network
The Arizona State Sun Devils will travel to Reser Stadium to take on the Oregon State Beavers this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The Arizona State Sun Devils dropped to 5-5 (4-3 PAC-12 South) on the season after being defeated by the UCLA Bruins, 44-37, this past Saturday. Arizona State jumped out to a quick 14-0 lead however, had trouble containing UCLA’s Josh Rosen and couldn’t fight back after falling behind by a 44-34 margin with 9:40 left in regulation. Arizona State outgained UCLA by a 584-573 margin, however, did allow the Bruins to gain 381 yards through the air. Leading the way for the Sun Devils was Demario Richard who had 125 rushing yards and a TD on 21 carries. On the season, the Sun Devils are averaging 30.1 ppg on 428.8 total yards per game (264.2 passing yds/g; 164.6 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Arizona State is led by QB Manny Wilkins who has completed 63.5% of his passes on the season for 12 TD and 4 INT while averaging 258.8 passing yds/g. The leading receivers for Arizona State have been N'Keal Harry (6.6 rec/g, 88.9 yds/g, 5 TD), Jalen Harvey (3.1 rec/g, 51.8 yds/g, TD), and Kyle Williams (5.3 rec/g, 60.9 yds/g, 4 TD). The Sun Devils backfield is led by Kalen Ballage (12.3 att/g, 51.8 yds/g, 5 TD) and Demario Richard (16.2 att/g, 77.0 yds/g, 7 TD). Defensively, Arizona State is allowing their opponents to an average of 32.1 ppg on 455.0 total yards per game (275.4 passing yds/g; 179.6 rushing yds/g). The Sun Devils have forced 12 turnovers on the season and have an overall turnover margin of +4.
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The Oregon State Beavers dropped to 1-9 (0-7 Pac-12 North) on the season after falling to the Arizona Wildcats 49-28, this past Saturday. Oregon State didn't have an answer for Arizona’s Khalil Tate and couldn’t fight back after trailing by a 28-0 margin at halftime. The Beavers were outgained by the Wildcats by a 602-360 margin and each team had 1 turnover on the day. Leading the way for Oregon State was QB Darell Garretson who completed 16 of 28 passes for 209 yards with 4 TD and 1 INT. On the season, the Beavers are averaging 21.4 ppg on 341.9 total yards per game (197.3 passing yds/g; 144.6 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Oregon State has been led by RB Ryan Nall who has 7 TD’s on the season while averaging 80.8 rushing yds/g on 15.4 att/g. QB Darell Garretson, who had taken over the starting duties for injured QB Jake Luton, has completed 55.5% of his passes for 5 TD and 4 INT while averaging 135.5 passing yds/g. The Oregon State receivers are led by WR's Jordan Villamin (2.5 rec/g, 29.6 yds/g, TD), Isaiah Hodgins (3.0 rec/g, 28.6 yds/g, 2 TD), and TE Noah Togiai (3.2 rec/g,41.4 yds/g, 2 TD). Defensively, Oregon State is allowing their opponents to an average of 40.7 ppg on 464.7 total yards per game (241.5 passing yds/g; 223.2 rushing yds/g). The Beavers have forced 13 turnovers on the season and have an overall turnover margin of –9.
The Sun Devils are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss. The Beavers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games however, just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Arizona State has played better than expected this season as their offense has been solid, ranking 55thin the country in scoring offense. It’s been a long season for the Oregon State, however, the Beavers have been played better as of late at home as their last two losses at Reser Stadium have been by just a combined 4 points against Colorado and Stanford. I was planning to go with the Beavers if they were getting more than 8 points, however, as Arizona State should have success on the offensive end and probably need this victory to get bowl eligible, I’m taking the Sun Devils to cover this road spread.