Oregon vs. Arizona - 11/18/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Arizona Wildcats (7-3) at Oregon Ducks (5-5)
College Football: Saturday, November 18, 2017 at 7:00 pm (Autzen Stadium)
The Line: Oregon Ducks -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: Pac-12 Network
The Arizona Wildcats will travel to Autzen Stadium to take on the Oregon Ducks this Saturday in College Football action.
The Arizona Wildcats improved to 7-3 (5-2 Pac-12 south) on the season after defeating the Oregon State Beavers, 49-28, this past Saturday. Arizona played outstanding football on both ends of the field in the 1st half and had little trouble securing the victory after taking a 28-0 halftime lead. Arizona outgained Oregon State by a 602-360 margin and had an incredible 534 yards rushing against the Beavers. Leading the way for the Wildcats was QB Khalil Tate who rushed for 206 yards and 2 TD’s on just 16 carries, while also completing 5 of 7 passes for 68 yards and an INT. On the season, the Wildcats are averaging 44.4 ppg on 516.5 total yards per game (168.8 passing yds/g; 347.7 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Arizona has been led by QB Khalil Tate who has been an unstoppable force on the ground since taking over QB duties for the Wildcats. Tate has completed 61.9% of his passes for 8 TD and 6 INT while averaging 124.8 passing yds/g but has done most of his damage on the ground as he has 11 rushing TD’s and is averaging an incredible 161.6 rushing yds/g. Also in the backfield for the Wildcats have been J.J. Taylor (11.4 att/g, 69.9 yds/g 4 TD) and Nick Wilson (11.0 att/g, 57.6 yds/g, 4 TD). The leading receivers for the Wildcats have been WR Shun Brown (3.2 rec/g, 43.1 yds/g, 5 TD), WR Tony Ellison (2.5 rec/g, 43.1 yds/g, 2 TD), and TE Bryce Wolma (2.5 rec/g, 22.5 yds/g, 2 TD). Defensively, Arizona is allowing their opponents to average 31.9 ppg on 459.2 total yards per game (292.5 passing yds/g; 166.7 rushing yds/g). Arizona has forced 21 turnovers on the season and have an overall turnover margin of +4.
USA TODAY Sports
The Oregon Ducks dropped to 5-5 (2-5 Pac-12 North) on the season after falling to the 12th ranked Washington Huskies, 38-3, on November 4th. Oregon once against struggled to get anything going in the passing game without Justin Herbert still sidelined with a Collarbone injury and stood no chance after falling behind by a 31-3 margin with 5:59 left in regulation. The Ducks were outgained the Huskies by a 451-278 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin. Leading the way for Oregon was RB Royce Freeman who carried the ball 24 times for 122 yards. On the season, the Ducks are averaging 32.3 ppg on 428.7 total yards game (173.5 passing yds/g; 255.2 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Oregon is led by RB Royce Freeman who has 10 TD on the season while averaging 121.8 rushing yds/g on 20.6 att/g. QB Braxton Burmeister has replaced injured starter Justin Herbert (68.3 comp %, 9 TD, 2 INT, 252.8 yds/g) and has completed 56.6% of this passes on the season for 2 TD and 6 INT while averaging 54.0 passing yds/g. Oregon has talent at WR position in Charles Nelson (3.6 rec/g, 44.3 yds/g, TD), Johnny Johnson III (1.8 rec/g, 23.4 yds/g, TD), and Dillon Mitchell (2.3 rec/g, 25.6 yds/g, 2 TD). Defensively, Oregon is allowing their opponents to an average of 30.1 ppg on 428.7 total yards a game (173.5 passing yds/g; 255.2 rushing yds/g). The Ducks have forced 17 turnovers on the season and have an overall turnover margin of -3.
The Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game, however, just 2-9 ATS in their last road games. The Ducks are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games following a bye week, however, just 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games.
Arizona got back on the winning track led by their rushing attack that has been nearly unstoppable since Khalil Tate took over the starting duties at QB. Oregon looked primed to get back into contention in the Pac-12 after their offense looked unstoppable early in the season, however, injuries have really slowed down the Ducks offensive attack. Oregon does have one of the better rushing defenses in the country that could help slow down the Arizona rushing attack, however, if Herbert is unable to play in this one, it's hard to see the Ducks putting up a lot of points. This game has yet to be lined due to the uncertainly of Herbert, however, if he doesn’t play, I’m probably going to roll with the Wildcats as long as the line isn’t too ridiculous. Please check back when the line is posted.