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Penn State vs. Nebraska - 11/18/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Nebraska Cornhuskers (4-6) at Penn State Nittany Lions (8-2)

College Football: Saturday, November 18, 2017 at 4:00 pm (Beaver Stadium)

The Line: Penn State Nittany Lions -24 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

The Nebraska Cornhuskers and Penn State Nittany Lions meet Saturday in college football action at Beaver Stadium.

The Nebraska Cornhuskers need a win here after losing four of their last five games to keep their bowl hopes alive. The Nebraska Cornhuskers have lost five of their last seven road games. Tanner Lee is completing 57.2 percent of his passes for 2,539 yards, 18 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Lee has two or more touchdown passes in five of his last six games. JD Spielman and Stanley Morgan Jr. have combined for 1,461 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while De'Mornay Pierson-El has 38 receptions. The Nebraska Cornhuskers ground game is averaging 115.6 yards per contest, and Devine Ozigbo leads the way with 468 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Nebraska is allowing 32.5 points and 412 yards per game. Chris Weber leads the Nebraska Cornhuskers with 74 tackles, Ben Stille has 3.5 sacks and Aaron Williams has two interceptions.  

Penn State vs. Nebraska - 11/18/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Penn State Nittany Lions look for their ninth win of the season to chase double-digit victories for the second straight year. The Penn State Nittany Lions haven’t lost a home game since November of 2015. Trace McSorley is completing 65 percent of his passes for 2,666 yards, 21 touchdowns and eight interceptions. McSorley has two or more touchdown passes in 10 of his last 13 games. DaeSean Hamilton and Saquon Barkley have combined for 1,170 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Juwan Johnson has 37 receptions. The Penn State Nittany Lions ground game is averaging 146 yards per contest, and Barkley leads the way with 899 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, Penn State is allowing 13.9 points and 318.3 yards per game. Jason Cabinda leads the Penn State Nittany Lions with 74 tackles, Shaka Toney has four sacks and Amani Oruwariye has four interceptions.

The Cornhuskers are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 road games, 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Nittany Lions are 9-1-2 ATS in their last 12 home games, 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 conference games and 15-4-2 ATS in their last 21 games overall. The road team is 2-0-2 ATS in their last 4 meetings, the underdog is 2-0-2 ATS in their last 4 meetings and the under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

It seems like Nebraska shows up when it wants to, and the problem is the Cornhuskers fall on their face far more than not. A blowout loss last week to Minnesota also kills any confidence I had left in Nebraska, as that was more than a winnable game on the road. The Penn State Nittany Lions had their hiccups on the road, but they've been money at home, as all of their victories this season have come in beatdowns and they've covered nine of their last 12 in Happy Valley. Based on the trends and the way Nebraska has rolled over quite a bit this season, a Penn State blowout at home is likely.

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