USC vs. UCLA - 11/18/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
UCLA Bruins (5-5) at USC Trojans (9-2)
College Football: Saturday, November 18, 2017 at 8:00 pm (Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum)
The Line: USC Trojans -15 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ABC; ESPN 3
The UCLA Bruins will travel to Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum to take on the 11th ranked USC Trojans this Saturday night in College Football action.
The UCLA Bruins improved to 5-5 (3-4 Pac-12 South) on the season after defeating the Arizona State Sun Devils 44-37, this past Saturday. UCLA scored 10 unanswered points to start the 4th quarter to take a 44-34 lead and held on late to secure the victory. The Bruins were outgained by the Sun Devils by a 584-573 margin and each team had 1 turnover. Leading the way for UCLA was QB Josh Rosen when completed 25 of 45 passes for 381 yards a TD and INT. On the season, the Bruins are averaging 35.2 ppg on 462.5 total yards per game (333.0 passing yds/g; 129.5 rushing yds/g). Offensively, UCLA is led by QB Josh Rosen who had completed 62.2% of his passes for 21 TD and 9 INT while averaging 343.8 passing yds/g. UCLA offense have talented receivers in WR Darren Anders (6.7 rec/g, 85.9 yds/g, 10 TD), WR Jordan Lasley (6.5 rec/g, 117.5 yds/g, 4 TD) and TE Caleb Wilson (7.6 rec/g, 98.0 yds/g, TD). The Bruins backfield is led by Bolu Olorunfunmi (9.9 att/g, 53.8 yds/g, 5 TD) and Soso Jamabo (9.4 att/g, 5.3 yds/g, 6 TD). Defensively, UCLA is allowing their opponents to an average of 38.6 ppg on 499.0 total yards per game (196.7 passing yds/g; 302.3 rushing yds/g). The Bruins have forced 10 turnovers on the season and have an overall turnover margin of –8.
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The 11th ranked USC Trojans improved to 9-2 (7-1 Pac-12 South) after defeating the Colorado Buffaloes 38-24, this past Saturday. USC was outstanding on both sides of the football in the 1st half and had little trouble securing the victory after taking a 27-0 lead with 9:14 left in the 3rd quarter. USC outgained Colorado by a 522-486 margin and won the turnover battle by a 2-0 margin. Leading the way for the Trojans was QB Sam Darnold who completed 21 of 34 passes for 329 yards and 2 passing TDs while also rushing for 1 TD. On the season, USC is averaging 35.5 ppg on 495.1 total yards per game (294.6 passing yds/g; 200.5 rushing yds/g). Offensively, USC has been led by QB Sam Darnold who has completed 63.4% of his passes for 24 TD and 11 INT while averaging 290.7 passing yds/g. The main receivers for Darnold and the Trojans have been Deontay Burnett (6.3 rec/g, 82.8 yds/g, 9 TD), Tyler Vaughns (4.2 rec/g, 57.0 yds/g, 4 TD), and Steven Mitchell Jr. (4.4 rec/g, 65.3 yds/g, 4 TD). The USC backfield has been led by Ronald Jones II (18.4 att/g, 122.4 yds/g, 14 TD) and Stephen Carr (7.9 att/g, 45.8 yds/g, 3 TD). Defensively, USC is holding their opponents to an average of 26.5 ppg on 401.6 total yards per game (235.5 passing yds/g; 166.1 rushing yds/g). USC has committed 22 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover margin of +1.
The Bruins are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games on grass and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Trojans are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November however, just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
UCLA picked up a solid win after getting their leader, Josh Rosen, back from injury however, UCLA has really struggled on the defensive end throughout the season as the Bruins currently rank 123rd in scoring defense. USC has started to look like the team that many thought would compete for a national championship this season as the offense has really be rolling during their 3-game winning streak, averaging 45 ppg. UCLA will be able to put up a few points with Josh Rosen back, however, as I don’t think the Bruins defense will have any success in slowing down Darnold and the Trojans offense, I’m taking USC to cover this large home spread.