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West Virginia vs. Texas - 11/18/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Texas Longhorns (5-5) at West Virginia Mountaineers (7-3)

College Football: Saturday, November 18, 2017 at 12:00 pm (Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium)

The Line: West Virginia Mountaineers -3 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Texas Longhorns and West Virginia Mountaineers meet Saturday in college football action at Milan Puskar Stadium.

The Texas Longhorns look for back-to-back victories to qualify for a bowl game for the first time since Charlie Strong’s first season. The Texas Longhorns have lost six of their last nine road games. Sam Ehlinger is completing 56.2 percent of his passes for 1,428 yards, seven touchdowns and four interceptions. Ehlinger and Shane Buechele have combined for 13 touchdown passes and eight interceptions this season. Collin Johnson and Lil'Jordan Humphrey have combined for 1,064 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Reggie Hemphill-Mapps has 32 receptions. The Texas Longhorns ground game is averaging 135.3 yards per contest, and Chris Warren III leads the way with 314 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Texas is allowing 21.9 points and 367.3 yards per game. Malik Jefferson leads the Texas Longhorns with 93 tackles, Breckyn Hager has four sacks and DeShon Elliott has six interceptions. 

West Virginia vs. Texas - 11/18/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The West Virginia Mountaineers look for another victory after winning four of their last five games to reach eight victories for a third straight year. The West Virginia Mountaineers have won 10 of their last 12 home games. Will Grier is completing 64.2 percent of his passes for 3,440 yards, 34 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Grier has eight touchdown passes and seven interceptions in his last three games. Gary Jennings and Ka’Raun White have combined for 1,845 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns while David Sills V has 55 receptions. The West Virginia Mountaineers ground game is averaging 161.8 yards per contest, and Justin Crawford leads the way with 899 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, West Virginia is allowing 29.2 points and 436.4 yards per game. Al-Rasheed Benton leads the West Virginia Mountaineers with 84 tackles, Ezekiel Rose has 4.5 sacks and Kyzir White has three interceptions. 

The Longhorns are 4-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in November and 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Mountaineers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games in November and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. The over is 4-1 in Mountaineers last 5 home games and the under is 38-17 in Longhorns last 55 games overall.

The Texas Longhorns continue to be this blah football team that only beats up on subpar competition and really hasn't earned a solid victory since its win over Iowa State back in late September. I still have little confidence in Texas' offense and the defense eventually caves due to the amount of pressure it has to get stops. West Virginia is quietly playing some of the best football in the Big 12 and is downright deadly when the offense gets going and isn't turning the ball over. West Virginia is going to put points up, and I have little confidence Texas will be able to match. The Mountaineers and this small line is one of my better college football bets of the weekend. 

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