Boise State vs. Fresno State MWC Championship - 12/2/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Fresno State Bulldogs (9-3) at Boise State Broncos (9-3)
College Football: Saturday, December 2, 2017 at 7:45 pm (Albertsons Stadium)
The Line: Boise State Broncos -10 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Fresno State Bulldogs and the #23 Boise State Broncos will square off in the Mountain West Conference college football championship on Saturday night.
The Fresno State Bulldogs come into this one winners of 4 straight to finish at 9-3 atop the Mountain West West division, following their 28-17 victory over these same Boise State Broncos last time out. Marcus McMaryion threw for 332 yards and a pair of touchdowns, while Jordan Mims led the Bulldogs’ ground attack with 43 rushing yards and a touchdown on 11 carries. KeeSean Johnson led the way in terms of receiving with 6 catches for 119 yards and a pair of touchdowns, while Jamire Jordan caught 4 passes for 91 yards and Jared Rice, along with Da’Mari Scott and Ronnie Rivers, each caught 3 passes in the winning effort. Defensively, a Malik Forrester sack and safety, along with a sack from Nathan Madsen, were the long individual highlights as the Bulldogs gave up 401 yards of total offense to the Broncos.
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The #23 Boise State Broncos reached the conference championship thanks to a 9-3 record of their own to finish atop the Mountain West East division. However, the Broncos had their momentum halted with the 28-17 loss to Fresno State that snapped their 7 game winning streak. Brett Rypien threw for 278 yards on 22 of 31 passing, while Montell Cozart tossed for 16 yards and a touchdown on 3 for 5 passing. Alexander Mattison led the way rushing with 63 yards and a touchdown on 15 carries, while Cedrick Wilson led the Broncos with 7 catches for 134 yards. A.J. Richardson added 4 receptions for 25 yards and a touchdown, while Mattison and Sean Modster each caught 3 receptions in the losing effort. Defensively, the Broncos gave up 431 yards in total offense in the loss while also allowing Fresno State to convert on 9 of 16 3rd down attempts.
Fresno State is 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games while the under is 8-0 in their last 8 games overall. Boise State is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games while the under is 5-3 in their last 8 games overall. Boise State is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these two teams.
It’s hard to beat the same team back-to-back, especially when the tail end of the back-to-back is on the road. Furthermore, 6 of the last 9 meetings between these two teams have seen the home team win by double digits. I wouldn’t be surprised if Fresno State not only covered, but won this outright, however I think Boise State has revenge on their minds and will want to put on a show for their home fans in the conference championship so I’ll lay the points with Boise State here.