Ohio State vs. Wisconsin Big Ten Championship - 12/2/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Wisconsin Badgers (12-0) at Ohio State Buckeyes (10-2)
College Football: Saturday, December 2, 2017 at 8:00 pm (Lucas Oil Stadium)
The Line: Ohio State Buckeyes -5.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Ohio State Buckeyes and Wisconsin Badgers meet Saturday in the college football Big 10 Championship at Lucas Oil Stadium.
The Ohio State Buckeyes look to win their 38th conference title in school history and make a case for the college football playoffs. The Ohio State Buckeyes have won eight of their last 11 non-home games. J.T. Barrett is completing 66.2 percent of his passes for 2,728 yards, 33 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Barrett is expected to play in this game despite suffering a knee injury against the Michigan Wolverines. Parris Campbell and K.J. Hill have combined for 1,049 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Johnnie Dixon has 17 receptions. The Ohio State Buckeyes ground game is averaging 250.3 yards per contest, and J.K. Dobbins leads the way with 1,190 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Ohio State is allowing 19.8 points and 291.8 yards per game. Jordan Fuller leads the Ohio State Buckeyes with 57 tackles, Nick Bosa has six sacks and Damon Webb has three interceptions.
USA TODAY NETWORK
The Wisconsin Badgers look to win their 15th conference title in school history while locking up a college football playoff berth. The Wisconsin Badgers have won 11 of their last 13 non-home games. Alex Hornibrook is completing 63.9 percent of his passes for 2,157 yards, 21 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Hornibrook has two or more touchdown passes in four of his last six games. Quintez Cephus and Troy Fumagalli have combined for 972 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while A.J. Taylor has 21 receptions. The Wisconsin Badgers ground game is averaging 243.2 yards per contest, and Jonathan Taylor leads the way with 1,806 yards and 13 touchdowns. Defensively, Wisconsin is allowing 12 points and 236.9 yards per game. Ryan Connelly leads the Wisconsin Badgers with 71 tackles, Garret Dooley has 7.5 sacks and Joe Ferguson has four interceptions.
The Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Badgers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Buckeyes are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings, the home team is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings and the underdog is 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings.
We're getting free points with the undefeated team. Everybody wants to find holes in the Wisconsin Badgers because they don't play sexy and have limited star power, but they win and cover games, and that's all we care about in this line of work. Wisconsin has the best defense in college football and has a ground game that wears on opposing defenses while also putting the game away late. We saw Ohio State struggle offensively last week against Michigan, and you're going to see a lot more of that against a Badgers defense that's allowed 17 or less points in eight straight games. Also, Barrett is expected to play, but he is dealing with a meniscus injury, so things could get scary at any moment. I think the Wisconsin Badgers win this game outright, but I'll gladly take the free points with the better team since oddmakers are being so kind.