Toledo vs. Akron MAC Championship- 12/2/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Akron Zips (7-5) at Toledo Rockets (10-2)
College Football: Saturday, December 2, 2017 at 12:00 pm (Ford Field)
The Line: Toledo Rockets -18 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Akron Zips and Toledo Rockets will face off in the MAC Championship at Ford Field this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The Akron Zips improved to 7-5 on the season after a 24-14 victory over the Kent State Golden Flashes on November 21st, which helped the Zips clinch their first MAC East Division title since 2005. Akron went into halftime with a 24-7 lead and held off the Golden Flashes with a solid defensive effort to secure the victory. The Zips were outgained by the Golden Flashes by a 246-191 margin however, won the turnover battle by a 3-1 margin. Leading the way for Akron was QB Kato Nelson who completed 6 of 20 passes for 69 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT. On the season, the Zips are averaging 23.3 ppg on 323.9 total yards per game (215.8 passing yds/g; 108.2 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Akron is led by QB Thomas Woodson (29.3 att/g, 193.6 yds/g, 14 TD) who has been sidelined for the final 3 games for violating team rules. Backup Kato Nelson is completing 49.5% of his passes on the season for 6 TD and 2 INT while averaging 91.5 passing yds/g. The WR are led by Kwadarrius Smith (2.6 rec/g, 51.0 yds/g, 6 TD), A.J. Coney (3.3 rec/g, 41.7 yds/g, 3 TD), and Tra'Von Chapman (4.0 rec/g, 37.3 yds/g, 2 TD). The primary threats out of the backfield are Manny Morgan (7.3 att/g, 28.5 yds/g, 3 TD) and Warren Ball (15.0 att/g, 66.4 yds/g, 4 TD). Defensively, Akron is holding opponents to 24.8 ppg on 421.4 total yards per game (228.9 passing yds/g; 192.5 rushing yds/g). The Zips have forced 22 turnovers on the season and have an overall turnover margin of +7.
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The Toledo Rockets improved to 10-2 (7-1 MAC West) on the season after defeating the Western Michigan Broncos 37-10 and claiming the MAC West title, on November 24th. Toledo just had too much offensive firepower for the Broncos to handle and pulled away for the victory after taking a 31-10 lead at the end of the 3rd quarter. The Rockets outgained the Broncos by a 455-275 margin and won the battle of turnovers by a 2-1 margin. Leading the way for Toledo was QB Logan Woodside who completed 19 of 29 passes for 300 yards with 2 TD and 1 INT. On the season, the Rockets are averaging 38.7 ppg on 505.7 total yards per game (290.7 passing yds/g; 215.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Toledo is led by QB Logan Woodside who has completed 65.2% of his passes on the season for 24 TD and 3 INT while averaging 287.6 passing yds/g. The main receiving threats for Woodside and the Rockets have been Cody Thompson (5.6 rec/g, 107.4 yds/g, 4 TD), Diontae Johnson (5.3 rec/g, 94.9 yds/g, 11 TD) and Jon'Vea Johnson (2.9 rec/g, 47.7 yds/g, 4 TD). Toledo’s backfield is led by Terry Swanson (19.1 att/g, 103.55 yds/g, 12 TD), Art Thompkins (8.08 att/g, 49.0 yds/g, 2 TD), and Shakif Seymour (8.8 att/g, 55.4 yds/g, 12 TD). Defensively, Toledo is allowing their opponents to an average of 25.4 ppg on 378.0 total yds per game (207.2 passing yds/g; 170.8 rushing yds/g). The Rockets have forced 18 turnovers on the season and have an overall turnover margin of +8.
The Zips are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Rockets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
In their only matchup of the season, Toledo had no trouble defeating the Akron as the Rockets won by a 48-21 margin at home. Akron has had a solid defense, however, there are many questions on the offensive end as the Zips have only averaged 23.3 ppg and we are not certain on the status of their starting QB, Thomas Woodson. Toledo, outside of their game against Ohio, has been outstanding on the offensive end this season and although this is a lot of points, I think the Rockets will run away with this one in the 2nd half and cover this large spread.