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UCF vs. Memphis AAC Championship - 12/2/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Memphis Tigers (10-1) at UCF Knights (11-0)

College Football: Saturday, December 2, 2017 at 12:00 pm (Bright House Networks Stadium)

The Line: UCF Knights -7 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ABC

The Memphis Tigers and UCF Knights meet Saturday in the college football AAC Championship at Spectrum Stadium.

The Memphis Tigers have a chance to win 11 games for the first time in school history while earning their sixth conference title. The Memphis Tigers have won three straight road games. Riley Ferguson is completing 62.2 percent of his passes for 3,500 yards, 32 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Ferguson has three or more touchdown passes in five of his last seven games. Anthony Miller and Phil Mayhue have combined for 1,648 receiving yards and 16 touchdowns while Tony Pollard has 28 receptions. The Memphis Tigers ground game is averaging 202.4 yards per contest, and Darrell Henderson leads the way with 1,045 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, Memphis is allowing 30.8 points and 453.5 yards per game. Austin Hall leads the Memphis Tigers with 74 tackles, Genard Avery has 6.5 sacks and Terrell Carter has four interceptions. 

UCF vs. Memphis AAC Championship - 12/2/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The UCF Knights hope to continue their perfect season while winning their fifth conference title in school history. The UCF Knights have won six straight home games. McKenzie Milton is completing 69.1 percent of his passes for 3,301 yards, 30 touchdowns and six interceptions. Milton has a combined 10 touchdown passes and one interception in his last three games. Tre'Quan Smith and Dredrick Snelson have combined for 1,432 receiving yards and 16 touchdowns while Jordan Akins has 26 receptions. The UCF Knights ground game is averaging 198.3 yards per contest, and Adrian Killins, Jr. leads the way with 711 yards and nine touchdowns. Defensively, Central Florida is allowing 22.5 points and 399.1 yards per game. Pat Jasinski leads the UCF Knights with 83 tackles, Shaquem Griffin has 3.5 sacks and Kyle Gibson has four interceptions.

The Tigers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games and 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Knights are 2-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Central Florida, the home team is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.

UCF beat up Memphis in the meeting back in September, 40-13, but the Tigers are a different team right now, as the defense has improved and the offense has scored no less than 41 points in the last five games. The Memphis Tigers are also kind in the gambling world, covering six of their last seven games overall, with the one other game being a push. However, this is a true home game for the UCF Knights, and five of their six home games have been won by double digits, with last weeks game against USF being the exception, a seven-point win. UCF has the offensive firepower to match Memphis, but I also trust the Knights defense more than I do the Tigers. I'll take the Knights by double digits in this contest as they complete the 12-0 season. 

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