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North Texas vs. Troy - 12/16/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Troy Trojans (10-2) at North Texas Mean Green (9-4)

College Football: Saturday, December 16, 2017 at 1:00 pm (Mercedes-Benz Superdome)

The Line: North Texas Mean Green +5.5 -- Over/Under: 60 See the Latest Odds


The Troy Trojans and North Texas Mean Green meet Saturday in the college football R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.

The Troy Trojans enter this bowl game on a six-game winning streak and have a chance to win 11 games for the first time in school history. The Troy Trojans are 3-3 all-time in bowl games. Brandon Silvers is completing 62.9 percent of his passes for 2,985 yards, 13 touchdowns and six interceptions. Silvers has two or more touchdown passes in three of his last six games. Deondre Douglas and Damion Willis have combined for 1,113 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Emanuel Thompson has 38 receptions. The Troy Trojans ground game is averaging 150.5 yards per contest, and Jordan Chunn leads the way with 774 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Troy is allowing 17.5 points and 340.1 yards per game. Tron Folsom leads the Troy Trojans with 77 tackles, Jamal Stadom has six sacks and Blace Brown has five interceptions. 

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North Texas vs. Troy - 12/16/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The North Texas Mean Green have won eight of their last 10 games and have a shot at 10 victories for the first time in school history. The North Texas Mean Green have are just 2-5 all-time in bowl appearances. Mason Fine is completing 64.3 percent of his passes for 3,749 yards, 28 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Fine has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last 10 games. Jalen Guyton and Michael Lawrence have combined for 1,513 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns while Rico Bussey, Jr. has 43 receptions. The North Texas Mean Green ground game is averaging 176 yards per contest, and Jeffery Wilson leads the way with 1,215 yards and 16 touchdowns. Defensively, North Texas is allowing 33.8 points and 431.2 yards per game. E.J. Ejiya leads the North Texas Mean Green with 100 tackles, Joshua Wheeler has 2.5 sacks and Eric Jenkins has two interceptions.

The Mean Green are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Trojans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games and 9-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 12-4 in Trojans last 16 games overall and the over is 5-1 in Mean Green last 6 non-conference games.

This is going to be a nice bowl game to set the tone for a month of college football, as the winner of this contest will complete the best season in school history. Troy has never won 11 games in a season and North Texas has never produced a double-digit winning season. As for picking a winner, you have to side with Troy by a touchdown. North Texas isn't the best defensive team in the country, and its going up against one fo the more underrated quarterbacks in Silvers, a guy who can pick you apart if you can't get to him. Troy is also a physical team that's allowed no more than 25 points all season long. I also expect the Troy Trojans to have a decent home crowd here, as a trip from Alabama to New Orleans is nothing. The Troy Trojans are simply the better football team here on both sides of the ball and should cruise in this contest.

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