Appalachian State vs. Toledo - 12/23/17 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Toledo Rockets (11-2) at Appalachian State Mountaineers (8-4)
College Football: Saturday, December 23, 2017 at 7:00 pm (Ladd Peebles Stadium)
The Line: Appalachian State Mountaineers +8 -- Over/Under: 63 See the Latest Odds
The Appalachian State Mountaineers and Toledo Rockets will square off in the Dollar General Bowl at Ladd-Peebles Stadium on Saturday, December 23rd.
The Appalachian State Mountaineers finished their season with an overall record of 8-4 which included a share of the Sun Belt Title after finishing with a conference record of 7-1. On the season, Appalachian State is averaging 33.4 ppg on 438.3 total yards per game (223.3 passing yds/g; 215.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Appalachian State was led by QB Taylor Lamb who completed 61.7% of his passes for 27 TD and 6 INT while averaging 217.2 passing yds/g. Lamb was also a threat with his legs as he had 5 rushing TD’s on the season and averaged 44.9 rushing yds/g. The main targets for Lamb and the Mountaineers was Ike Lewis (3.9 rec/g, 55.5 yds/g, 8 TD), Thomas Hennigan (3.7 rec/g, 46.3 yds/g, 7 TD), and Jalen Virgil (1.6 rec/g, 29.3 yds/g, 3 TD). Appalachian State’s backfield was led by Jalin Moore (16.1 att/g, 91.2 yds/g, 9 TD) and Marcus Williams Jr. (12.6 att/g, 61.7 yds/g, 2 TD). Defensively, Appalachian State is holding their opponents to an average of 21.9 ppg on 358.8 total yards per game (211.7 passing yds/g; 147.1 rushing yds/g). Leading the defense for the Mountaineers was LB Eric Boggs who led the team with 97 tackles while also picking up 4 sacks. The Mountaineers defense forced 22 turnovers on the season and had an overall turnover margin of +8.
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The Toledo Rockets had a successful season after finishing the season with an overall record of 11-2 which included winning the MAC Championship, defeating the Akron Zips, 45-28, in the Championship game. On the season, Toledo had an explosive offensive that averaged 39.2 ppg on 509.9 total yards per game (291.9 passing yds/g; 218.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Toledo was led by QB Logan Woodside who completed 64.9% of his passes for 28 TD and 5 INT while averaging 289.1 passing yds/g. Woodside and the Rockets have a talented group of receivers led by Diontae Johnson (5.5 rec/g, 96.7 yds/g, 13 TD), Jon’Vea Johnson (3.2 rec/g, 51.9 yds/g, 5 TD), and Cody Thompson (5.6 rec/g, 107.4 yds/g, 4 TD). The Toledo backfield has been led by Terry Swanson (19.3 att/g, 109.9 yds/g, 14 TD) and Shakif Seymour (8.7 att/g, 54.2 yds/g, 12 TD). Defensively, Toledo is holding their opponents to an average of 25.6 ppg on 379.4 total yards per game (213.0 passing yds/g; 166.4 rushing yds/g). DL Olasunkanmi Adeniyi is the main impact player on the Rockets as he led the team with 8.5 sacks and was 2nd on the team in total tackles with 67.
The Mountaineers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. The Rockets are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. Sun-Belt opponents and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Appalachian State has a great playmaker at QB in Taylor Lamb and a solid rushing offense that ranked 28th in country, however, has really been led by their defense that held their opponents to just an average of 10.0 ppg during their last three games. Toledo has one of the more explosive offenses in the country as the Rockets ranked 8th in total offense, 20th in passing offense, and 26th in rushing offense. Appalachian State is playing their best defense of the season as of late, however, Toledo’s offense is one of the best in the country and I think they’ll find success against the Mountaineers defense and cover this spread. Take Toledo to cover.